TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zero Tenacityof Zero Tenacity, Virtus.pro
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,650
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,044

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,650 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x622a…2b59backed Virtus.pro1c5,555$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.77210%0 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2733…ac38backed Virtus.pro31c2,441$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.02825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-54.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Virtus.pro68c2,212$1,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,503.131,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Zero Tenacity58c1,883$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.5215047.3%71 W · 79 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Zero Tenacity32c1,880$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.5646535.1%163 W · 302 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Zero Tenacity32c704.61$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.735932.2%19 W · 40 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Zero Tenacity33c559.49$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.5520827.9%58 W · 150 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Zero Tenacity49c469.99$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.891,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Virtus.pro64c468.1$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.33850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked Virtus.pro61c428.43$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.464351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Virtus.pro72c402.4$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.8291356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Zero Tenacity33c361.37$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.532,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Virtus.pro70c356$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.210136.6%37 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Zero Tenacity26c344.32$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.8249133.6%165 W · 326 L+1.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Virtus.pro70c343$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.15850%29 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Zero Tenacity30c343$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.1933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked Virtus.pro35c306.81$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.742924.1%7 W · 22 L-8.0wins-0.28per pick52cpaid-58.3%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xe503…735ebacked Virtus.pro70c292.42$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Zero Tenacity31c290.32$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.324233.3%14 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Virtus.pro66c288.85$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.251,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed Virtus.pro68c286.46$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.792055%11 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Zero Tenacity42c276.6$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.611348.7%55 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Zero Tenacity33c270$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.821,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Virtus.pro67c219.09$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.7912843.8%56 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec1…d5a3backed Virtus.pro68c205$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Zero Tenacity12c200$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17664123.4%150 W · 491 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Virtus.pro22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.636054.4%196 W · 164 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Zero Tenacity7c191.86$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.4318444.6%82 W · 102 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Virtus.pro70c187.14$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1311850%9 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cf4…b11abacked Virtus.pro59c180.34$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.6640%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb88…b1d7backed Virtus.pro14c175$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid+6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x098c…9168backed Zero Tenacity18c166.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.253961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x276d…1cf4backed Zero Tenacity34c157.52$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.883026.7%8 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed Virtus.pro31c156.25$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4914039.3%55 W · 85 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Virtus.pro67c142.06$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9622845.6%104 W · 124 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Zero Tenacity44c130.24$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.964163.4%26 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fd7…6c52backed Zero Tenacity31c130$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.78934.8%31 W · 58 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Zero Tenacity61c120$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.534063.2%215 W · 125 L+38.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Zero Tenacity30c120$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.25per pick39cpaid+101.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Virtus.pro69c115$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.357357.5%42 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0688…ca67backed Zero Tenacity32c110$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+57%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55c4…3751backed Zero Tenacity32c110$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Virtus.pro29c107.82$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.932,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Zero Tenacity56c100.96$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6111052.7%58 W · 52 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Zero Tenacity26c99.86$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.446169.7%60 W · 556 L-2.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Virtus.pro80c98.1$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0826661.7%164 W · 102 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Virtus.pro36c95.15$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.692,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe290…7fb0backed Virtus.pro12c91.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.01988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick58cpaid+43.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbcbd…191dbacked Virtus.pro40c89.43$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+31.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Virtus.pro68c88.24$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1409…9a8fbacked Zero Tenacity20c83.45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.17540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80c3…ed8fbacked Zero Tenacity32c70.8$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.153138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c32…2c75backed Virtus.pro68c70$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9f0…67d4backed Virtus.pro68c70$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae28…5d17backed Zero Tenacity30c70$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+11.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2258…f38fbacked Virtus.pro76c64.03$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4970…21f6backed Zero Tenacity30c64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+56.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Virtus.pro62c51.9$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3246664.2%299 W · 167 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Zero Tenacity30c49.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9917638.6%68 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08a6…a40abacked Zero Tenacity39c49.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+114.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Virtus.pro59c48.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6214453.5%77 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a5…2caebacked Zero Tenacity32c44.57$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.312737%10 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b31…7300backed Virtus.pro68c40$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a52…7aa1backed Virtus.pro68c40$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f83…7091backed Virtus.pro70c37.12$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb990…3d1cbacked Virtus.pro70c37$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Virtus.pro48c36.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6218143.6%79 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Zero Tenacity50c36.8$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.466662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc152…7b79backed Virtus.pro58c36.02$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8940%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa75…5937backed Zero Tenacity58c35.74$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b46…bb95backed Virtus.pro57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Virtus.pro69c24.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Virtus.pro61c24.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51bd…bc56backed Virtus.pro70c24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacac…bd06backed Virtus.pro70c22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06b1…614cbacked Virtus.pro70c19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-36.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa029…c912backed Virtus.pro70c18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+51.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82da…ed72backed Zero Tenacity73c17.73$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.84450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-33.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x370a…cccebacked Virtus.pro70c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…c6ecbacked Virtus.pro70c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.