TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x370a…ccce

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-42.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$10.35
76ers vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 120.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.71
Jazz vs. Spurs: O/U 246.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12.04
Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+56.3%+$7.56
Pistons vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$14.48
Magic vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$18.84
Grizzlies vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$13.13
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.58
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14.91
1H Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$39.5
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H Moneylinebacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$18.07
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+96.1%+$10.29
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+42.9%+$12.6
1H Spread: Magic (-1.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11.7
Spread: Hawks (-8.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+81.8%+$14.4
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-7.5)backed Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17.1
Alabama State Hornets vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lionsbacked Alabama State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Memphis Tigers vs. Rice Owls: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$13.23
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. North Alabama Lionsbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.92
Spread: Furman Paladins (-3.5)backed Mercer Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Tennessee State Tigers vs. Tennessee Tech Golden Eaglesbacked Tennessee State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+96.1%+$12.25
Harvard Crimson vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$16.09
Idaho Vandals vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11.8
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Campbell Fighting Camels: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Cal State Fullerton Titans vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 176.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+100%+$14.5
Spread: Providence Friars (-1.5)backed Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10.64
Michigan Wolverines vs. Maryland Terrapinsbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+26.6%+$2.73
George Mason Patriots vs. Virginia Tech Hokies: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$21.15
All 13 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-57.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+58.7%+$6.66
KHL: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs. Torpedobacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+108.3%+$11.96
KHL: Dinamo Minsk vs. SKA St. Petersburgbacked Dinamo Minsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$17.01
SHL: Roegle vs. Brynaesbacked Roegle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick74cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.32
Will Samsunspor vs. AEK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tauson vs. Kessler: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group A: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Rafael Jodarbacked Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+127.3%+$12.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)backed CA Mineiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.36
Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)backed Deportivo Toluca FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$12.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick71cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$19.32
Will Karlsruher SC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+78.6%+$9.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Oh My God vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.