Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Michigan Wolverines vs. Maryland Terrapins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b7b46f11caff61551bf0532e8302edaa8b27b816a7509cbefb581d340c4af1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michigan Wolverinesof Michigan Wolverines, Maryland Terrapins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Michigan Wolverines | 80c | 6,200$4,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Maryland Terrapins | 20c | 5,705$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.1 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Michigan Wolverines | 79c | 3,623$2,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.16 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Maryland Terrapins | 24c | 3,100$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.63 | 105 | 11.4%12 W · 93 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Maryland Terrapins | 23c | 995.74$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.02 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Michigan Wolverines | 75c | 969.36$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.6 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Maryland Terrapins | 14c | 885$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.69 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Maryland Terrapins | 21c | 815.45$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.4 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Maryland Terrapins | 6c | 790$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Maryland Terrapins | 6c | 647.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Maryland Terrapins | 6c | 333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maryland Terrapins | 7c | 322.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Michigan Wolverines | 78c | 320$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Maryland Terrapins | 21c | 304.9$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Michigan Wolverines | 79c | 303.54$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.74 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Maryland Terrapins | 4c | 302.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Maryland Terrapins | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 216 | 46.8%101 W · 115 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Maryland Terrapins | 5c | 266$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Maryland Terrapins | 5c | 234.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Maryland Terrapins | 14c | 217.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…37c1backed Maryland Terrapins | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -67%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Maryland Terrapins | 20c | 132$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…24d7backed Maryland Terrapins | 23c | 121.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e3…f004backed Maryland Terrapins | 13c | 104.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed Maryland Terrapins | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 95 | 4.2%4 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -86%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Maryland Terrapins | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fadabacked Maryland Terrapins | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Michigan Wolverines | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Michigan Wolverines | 80c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Michigan Wolverines | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Michigan Wolverines | 71c | 26.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…581ebacked Michigan Wolverines | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…cccebacked Michigan Wolverines | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked Michigan Wolverines | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.