Harvard Crimson vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 146.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcbf334c734b56f4d566d5f9eb0fe2504bed1f334cf2faa5c3a67a69e443c26e

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 23, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,425
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,425

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,425 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcc30…c8a5backed Over	51c	392.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	90	37.8%34 W · 56 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	49c	287.99$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.87	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Under	51c	106$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.94	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Under	48c	104.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.17	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Under	54c	80$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.8	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x454a…4039backed Under	46c	59$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.86	66	48.5%32 W · 34 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7a…6563backed Under	53c	45$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.15	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d67…cf38backed Under	54c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.4	49	59.2%29 W · 20 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cfd…9f5abacked Over	49c	36$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.64	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43dc…88cfbacked Over	49c	34$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.66	38	71.1%27 W · 11 L	+6.9wins	+0.18per pick	53cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x370a…cccebacked Over	49c	33$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.09	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4669…785ebacked Under	47c	32$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.96	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-5.1wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf6e9…6613backed Over	46c	26$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.96	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc39b…5754backed Over	46c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Harvard Crimson vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 146.5this page
Harvard Crimson vs. St. John's Red StormSt. John's Red Storm won
Harvard Crimson vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 144.5Under won
Harvard Crimson vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 145.5Under won
Harvard Crimson vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 147.5Under won
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-24.5)St. John's Red Storm won
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-25.5)St. John's Red Storm won
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-26.5)Harvard Crimson won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Harvard Crimson vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 146.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event