Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Harvard Crimson vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 144.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4e59e0c833d77f5279d9e3719bab100ca60ead840242fdaf8609953ac9637f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Over | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Over | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Over | 77c | 276.36$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.71 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 54c | 155$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.47 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Under | 45c | 127$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.85 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 125$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 114.09$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.28 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 15c | 102.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.28 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 24c | 102$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 29c | 86.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.52 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Under | 47c | 47.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Over | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 55c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Over | 55c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Over | 55c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…92cbbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -6.8wins | -0.32per pick | 56cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…6b2dbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Harvard Crimson vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 144.5this page
- Harvard Crimson vs. St. John's Red StormSt. John's Red Storm won
- Harvard Crimson vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 145.5Under won
- Harvard Crimson vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 146.5Under won
- Harvard Crimson vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-24.5)St. John's Red Storm won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-25.5)St. John's Red Storm won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-26.5)Harvard Crimson won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.