Harvard Crimson vs. St. John's Red Storm

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb96c604450e51552999ad6921a0075d49669f825bf8f09a9a491dc9148963a6b

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: St. John's Red Stormof Harvard Crimson, St. John's Red Storm
Resolved: Dec 23, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $18,587
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $22,311

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,587 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee47…1c4cbacked Harvard Crimson	7c	1,208$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.75	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.12per pick	31cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Harvard Crimson	11c	1,185$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.24	5,553	47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L	+26.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x83b8…ca3fbacked Harvard Crimson	3c	1,032$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Harvard Crimson	4c	1,000$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	1,227	27.8%341 W · 886 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Harvard Crimson	4c	987.07$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.93	1,173	25.2%296 W · 877 L	-43.0wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Harvard Crimson	9c	837$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.66	1,540	41.3%636 W · 904 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Harvard Crimson	12c	808.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	40	35%14 W · 26 L	-5.9wins	-0.15per pick	50cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5a09…3c83backed Harvard Crimson	11c	629.79$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.15per pick	60cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed41…a389backed Harvard Crimson	4c	409.27$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cb4…f28cbacked Harvard Crimson	4c	243.9$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	21	0%0 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Harvard Crimson	6c	223.02$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.42	2,579	47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L	-42.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3475…eea8backed Harvard Crimson	11c	185.27$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-67.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Harvard Crimson	12c	129.3$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.59	100	37%37 W · 63 L	-8.6wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Harvard Crimson	10c	106$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.74	1,951	45.1%880 W · 1,071 L	-19.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Harvard Crimson vs. St. John's Red Stormthis page
Harvard Crimson vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 144.5Under won
Harvard Crimson vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 145.5Under won
Harvard Crimson vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 146.5Under won
Harvard Crimson vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 147.5Under won
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-24.5)St. John's Red Storm won
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-25.5)St. John's Red Storm won
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-26.5)Harvard Crimson won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Harvard Crimson vs. St. John's Red Storm

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event