South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb83741a15298601131989bc07fe915a4d47c68cf55737d535023f12c144c9318
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CA Mineiroof Red Bull Bragantino, CA Mineiro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CA Mineiro | 80c | 11,390$9,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.29 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Red Bull Bragantino | 20c | 5,967$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.54 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Red Bull Bragantino | 16c | 5,445$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.29 | 5,821 | 45.4%2,642 W · 3,179 L | +97.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Red Bull Bragantino | 21c | 1,169$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.09 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked CA Mineiro | 80c | 605$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked CA Mineiro | 79c | 243.76$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.52 | 3,446 | 51.4%1,771 W · 1,675 L | +21.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Red Bull Bragantino | 21c | 144$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Red Bull Bragantino | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed CA Mineiro | 80c | 127.97$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed CA Mineiro | 80c | 73.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked CA Mineiro | 74c | 53.02$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 2,175 | 43.6%948 W · 1,227 L | -56.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…0badbacked CA Mineiro | 80c | 44.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 79cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CA Mineiro | 44c | 44.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 1,339 | 56.9%762 W · 577 L | +55.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed CA Mineiro | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…c6ecbacked CA Mineiro | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked CA Mineiro | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed CA Mineiro | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed CA Mineiro | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…cccebacked CA Mineiro | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe113…375dbacked CA Mineiro | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)this page
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.