South American Leagues · resolved market
Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb22edba1ba0319572719c7f2efbe67851e1f70d5256a757a09b7d1036f479fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 49c | 24,532$12,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,020.59 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 16,637$8,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,424.94 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 48c | 12,178$5,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,323.96 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 2,429$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.43 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 74c | 1,164$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.92 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 1,027$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.73 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 60c | 499.79$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…73b3backed Over | 72c | 476.22$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Over | 29c | 399.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 63c | 255$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.65 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 34c | 254.65$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.65 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 49c | 253.41$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.07 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 67c | 228.01$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.77 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8818…4f5abacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Under | 73c | 222.61$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.61 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 76cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 68c | 196.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.37 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Over | 68c | 182.46$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.07 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…1943backed Over | 60c | 175.23$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 62c | 171.74$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.48 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Over | 63c | 160.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.19 | 48 | 85.4%41 W · 7 L | +8.5wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 147.13$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.93 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Over | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Under | 17c | 130.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.39 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 50c | 124.8$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over | 55c | 106$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe113…375dbacked Under | 49c | 71.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 494 | 40.9%202 W · 292 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 69c | 70$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 73c | 58.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 20c | 52.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 50c | 47.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 32c | 42.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x957c…2965backed Over | 50c | 41.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2020…7e22backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 44c | 36.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 724 | 50.6%366 W · 358 L | -24.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 49c | 34.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa404…3ee0backed Over | 51c | 33.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 51c | 26.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 68c | 22.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed9…d709backed Under | 50c | 22.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5this page
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)CA Mineiro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.