Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb63e0fc0b8d8dc88272543cac7093db3bc402adfe1814baf8cb19850a5a70a27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Villanova Wildcatsof Villanova Wildcats, Seton Hall Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Villanova Wildcats | 42c | 5,615$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,233.3 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Seton Hall Pirates | 56c | 4,296$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.61 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff6…9eb4backed Villanova Wildcats | 51c | 4,102$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dfb…7ac4backed Seton Hall Pirates | 49c | 3,652$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 54c | 2,656$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.35 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Villanova Wildcats | 48c | 1,852$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.27 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Villanova Wildcats | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seton Hall Pirates | 58c | 785.44$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.56 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 54c | 666.67$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Villanova Wildcats | 43c | 662.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.94 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 50c | 546.35$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…ff0fbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 49c | 431$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Seton Hall Pirates | 52c | 316.5$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.58 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Seton Hall Pirates | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.16 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Seton Hall Pirates | 57c | 199.97$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.98 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Seton Hall Pirates | 58c | 167$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309a…f474backed Villanova Wildcats | 45c | 123.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.69 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 60cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Villanova Wildcats | 43c | 115$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Villanova Wildcats | 43c | 104$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Villanova Wildcats | 44c | 92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Villanova Wildcats | 45c | 83.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe974…bb41backed Villanova Wildcats | 43c | 81.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Seton Hall Pirates | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2af…4e5bbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 18c | 59.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc73…d420backed Seton Hall Pirates | 49c | 59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Seton Hall Pirates | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…124cbacked Villanova Wildcats | 51c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Villanova Wildcats | 69c | 47.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Seton Hall Pirates | 52c | 47.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 57c | 38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 57c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…cccebacked Seton Hall Pirates | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Seton Hall Pirates | 57c | 25.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Seton Hall Pirates | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79f1…178abacked Seton Hall Pirates | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed Seton Hall Pirates | 57c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Seton Hall Pirates | 57c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Seton Hall Pirates | 57c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Seton Hall Pirates | 57c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…92cbbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -6.8wins | -0.32per pick | 56cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-7.5)this page
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. Villanova WildcatsVillanova Wildcats won
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 133.5Under won
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 134.5Under won
- Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-6.5)Villanova Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.