TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Seton Hall Pirates vs. Villanova Wildcats

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Villanova Wildcatsof Seton Hall Pirates, Villanova Wildcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,477
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,225

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,477 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38c2…d3a7backed Villanova Wildcats72c38,011$27,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,634.2416056.9%91 W · 69 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Seton Hall Pirates28c15,929$4,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,460.2413649.3%67 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Seton Hall Pirates28c6,591$1,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,822.4612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Seton Hall Pirates26c5,453$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.915,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe611…b0b4backed Seton Hall Pirates23c3,311$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.4650%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed Seton Hall Pirates29c3,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8702339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Villanova Wildcats70c2,757$1,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.2189645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Seton Hall Pirates29c2,500$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72522645.6%103 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Seton Hall Pirates2c1,723$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.062,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Seton Hall Pirates30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45025043.2%108 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Seton Hall Pirates28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42020026%52 W · 148 L+0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Seton Hall Pirates28c1,450$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.161,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Seton Hall Pirates17c1,385$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.763,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked Villanova Wildcats77c1,300$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29325254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Seton Hall Pirates1c1,148$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.934,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Villanova Wildcats72c1,144$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.891,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Seton Hall Pirates27c1,063$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.241,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Villanova Wildcats77c770.46$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.175,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Seton Hall Pirates30c750$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22556444.1%249 W · 315 L+2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Seton Hall Pirates23c609.38$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.0837441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Villanova Wildcats77c557$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.6539742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Seton Hall Pirates28c540$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.260548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked Seton Hall Pirates2c524.75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick12cpaid-51.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Seton Hall Pirates22c347.29$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5768254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Seton Hall Pirates22c326.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.982,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Seton Hall Pirates30c290.37$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1111439.5%45 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Seton Hall Pirates29c289.31$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.937142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Seton Hall Pirates29c269.91$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.122,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Villanova Wildcats79c249.97$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.495052%26 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Seton Hall Pirates28c242.43$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5562451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Villanova Wildcats74c225.47$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.622,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Seton Hall Pirates29c222$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3891848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Seton Hall Pirates14c219.93$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7953635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Villanova Wildcats77c219$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.661,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Seton Hall Pirates26c205.54$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4442339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bca…05d8backed Seton Hall Pirates25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x309a…f474backed Villanova Wildcats74c185.81$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.311090%9 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick60cpaid+61.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Seton Hall Pirates28c174$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7217643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Seton Hall Pirates19c151.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9277142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Seton Hall Pirates25c149.86$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3238345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8127…c407backed Seton Hall Pirates19c139.25$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2250%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Villanova Wildcats76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5848462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed Seton Hall Pirates25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523028.3%65 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Seton Hall Pirates23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236319%12 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Villanova Wildcats70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3027048.1%130 W · 140 L+12.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0827…b573backed Villanova Wildcats73c97$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+84.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Seton Hall Pirates28c89.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513052.3%68 W · 62 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Villanova Wildcats74c86.68$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5444549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed Seton Hall Pirates24c83.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9925230.6%77 W · 175 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Villanova Wildcats75c76$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1923754.4%129 W · 108 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Seton Hall Pirates27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205832.8%19 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Seton Hall Pirates28c51.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4810043%43 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Seton Hall Pirates23c49.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.52,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53b9…292abacked Villanova Wildcats75c46.88$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.881258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick72cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Seton Hall Pirates23c46.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.511,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Villanova Wildcats78c40.62$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.941,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Seton Hall Pirates25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020024%48 W · 152 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c34…2055backed Seton Hall Pirates25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb19…122ebacked Villanova Wildcats72c38.07$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.66425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-65.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9021…bf4ebacked Villanova Wildcats72c35.83$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.031656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Villanova Wildcats73c35.21$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5193447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Villanova Wildcats72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.464658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc54a…f396backed Villanova Wildcats74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.81681.3%13 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick78cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…abb4backed Villanova Wildcats76c29.43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.091957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b30…99cdbacked Villanova Wildcats74c28.89$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+35.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b8f…46c8backed Villanova Wildcats72c22.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe06b…147fbacked Villanova Wildcats74c22.11$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.754100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc727…adc2backed Villanova Wildcats75c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.752462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fc…c985backed Villanova Wildcats75c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.751656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Villanova Wildcats75c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b9c…da16backed Villanova Wildcats73c14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7115066%99 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.