College Football · resolved market
O/U 40.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7893a57ac19cc52074c0a8448e834bb23c8ba6641959ba784f9d157afcb8364e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Under | 47c | 30,000$14,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,100 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 49c | 28,895$14,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,158.47 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 51c | 22,320$11,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,927.19 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Over | 57c | 22,002$12,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,468.15 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Under | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 19,409$10,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,067.11 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 51c | 15,748$8,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,659.08 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 10,548$5,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,157.96 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Over | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Under | 46c | 4,629$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.33 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 48cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Over | 53c | 4,524$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.6 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 2,773$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.84 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Over | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.58 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 1,066$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.34 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 43c | 1,021$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.03 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Under | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 911.22$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.24 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…1d1ebacked Over | 54c | 753.74$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Under | 44c | 750$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Under | 43c | 516.52$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.11 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…6282backed Over | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Over | 53c | 415.09$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.09 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…e887backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Over | 53c | 381.13$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.13 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6719…1e71backed Under | 5c | 341.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Over | 57c | 338.6$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 49c | 285.46$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.95 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 43c | 214$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.04 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Under | 48c | 202.64$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.05 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa6…0b3bbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f82…d6abbacked Over | 51c | 196.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Over | 52c | 190.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -6.5wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -50%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Under | 48c | 174$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.52 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Under | 11c | 164$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 8cpaid | +333.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed Under | 60c | 132.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 49c | 127$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Under | 49c | 122.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa496…9eccbacked Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f2…5648backed Over | 57c | 111$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 50c | 108.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Under | 43c | 105$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -7.7wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaddb…51adbacked Over | 52c | 96.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…dffcbacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 50c | 81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Under | 48c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Over | 26c | 62.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Under | 44c | 58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…c85dbacked Under | 46c | 56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Over | 57c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked Over | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 40c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb8…2807backed Under | 47c | 45.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496c…941cbacked Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Over | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…f838backed Over | 57c | 43.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Under | 44c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Over | 54c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…666cbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 50cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…372dbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Over | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Over | 52c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed Over | 56c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3b…bd9fbacked Over | 56c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Over | 54c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed Over | 57c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Over | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Over | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed Over | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc088…0809backed Under | 50c | 26.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Under | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Under | 42c | 24.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked Over | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Over | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Over | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…3f0abacked Over | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Over | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b46…1e90backed Over | 52c | 21.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Over | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 40.5this page
- Alabama vs. OklahomaAlabama won
- Alabama vs. Oklahoma: O/U 39.5Over won
- Alabama vs. Oklahoma: O/U 41.5Over won
- Spread: Alabama (-1.5)Alabama won
- Spread: Oklahoma (-1.5)Alabama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.