TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc088…0809

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 60 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$21.59
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+100.4%+$17.75
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+47.8%+$14.45
Wizards vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15.53
Mavericks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+143.6%+$31.16
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$27.38
Spurs vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12.24
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20.57
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+138.2%+$18.31
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10.98
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+96.1%+$10.45
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+214.7%+$130.63
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12.24
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+43.3%+$7.44
LoL: LNG Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$28.69
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+70%+$8.49
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+46.6%+$6.77
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11.9
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+39.4%+$11.35
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+128.2%+$42.32
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+68.2%+$54.49
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$11.81
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-45.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Washington vs CSDIILIT (BO3)backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.12
Counter-Strike: NRG vs 9INE - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs WATERMELON (BO3)backed WATERMELON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+101.3%+$27.45
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Leo Team (BO3)backed Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15.74
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs fnatic (BO3)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$34.06
Counter-Strike: ex-GANK Esports vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$48.75
Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs Change The Game (BO1)backed Change The Game · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+43.2%+$9.55
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Nexus (BO3)backed 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+45.3%+$13.37
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 3 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30.3
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick63cpaid+41.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-73.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10.03
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$23.01
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$44.06
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$65.39
Browns vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+32.5%+$3.62
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-29%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+139.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-45.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+63.3%+$12.21
O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$13.31
Old Dominion vs. South Floridabacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+91%+$35.18
AC Milan vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+112.7%+$24.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.16
Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Maple Leafsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$19.71
Stars vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$43.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+37.4%+$4.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DR Congo win on 2025-12-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$14.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.