Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International: Karolina Muchova vs Ajla Tomljanovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc902ab6fb0a41ddf6e0433a3020088159382f61665959f5fafd4e7b28d759553
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Muchovaof Muchova, Tomljanovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $265,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Tomljanovic | 0c | 29,997$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -12.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…30b0backed Tomljanovic | 0c | 27,100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tomljanovic | 20c | 21,527$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,240.34 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tomljanovic | 35c | 16,847$5,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,873.4 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dc…840bbacked Tomljanovic | 0c | 6,128$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Tomljanovic | 56c | 5,915$3,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,335 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tomljanovic | 31c | 5,419$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.39 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ae…3020backed Muchova | 74c | 5,382$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Muchova | 65c | 4,276$2,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.75 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Muchova | 50c | 4,083$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.7 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Tomljanovic | 19c | 3,713$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.78 | 107 | 29%31 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Muchova | 70c | 3,397$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.81 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Tomljanovic | 30c | 3,197$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.25 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb71d…0d44backed Tomljanovic | 1c | 3,137$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Tomljanovic | 36c | 2,961$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.62 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Tomljanovic | 35c | 2,939$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.81 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed Tomljanovic | 3c | 2,666$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 83 | 13.3%11 W · 72 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed72…b8b0backed Tomljanovic | 28c | 2,633$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.35 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Muchova | 48c | 2,069$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.89 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Muchova | 54c | 1,827$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.28 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Muchova | 58c | 1,723$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.78 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -9.5wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Muchova | 43c | 1,650$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.11 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Muchova | 54c | 1,621$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.61 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Tomljanovic | 26c | 1,616$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.96 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed Tomljanovic | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Muchova | 75c | 1,129$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.84 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Muchova | 61c | 1,122$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.14 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Muchova | 66c | 1,085$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.91 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Tomljanovic | 37c | 1,080$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.74 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3457…0161backed Muchova | 69c | 1,052$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.1 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4f…37b8backed Muchova | 52c | 1,025$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Muchova | 69c | 1,004$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.18 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Tomljanovic | 41c | 1,000$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.81 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Muchova | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed Muchova | 66c | 1,000$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.06 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e2…27b3backed Muchova | 62c | 954.74$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f05…4480backed Muchova | 78c | 934.62$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.62 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Muchova | 72c | 803.95$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.24 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Tomljanovic | 49c | 799.92$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.96 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3f…b2cebacked Muchova | 71c | 799.8$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…53b3backed Muchova | 72c | 724.51$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.01 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…7f00backed Tomljanovic | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Muchova | 36c | 694.44$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.44 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Muchova | 70c | 662.42$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.73 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Muchova | 64c | 651.12$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.07 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Tomljanovic | 31c | 617.49$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.45 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ad…69ccbacked Tomljanovic | 15c | 614.36$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8e…cac2backed Tomljanovic | 12c | 554.61$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Muchova | 71c | 530.54$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.7 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…aa9abacked Tomljanovic | 41c | 525.57$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.87 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Muchova | 69c | 521.01$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.92 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Tomljanovic | 30c | 518.85$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.96 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7e…79e5backed Tomljanovic | 58c | 514.15$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb23e…167bbacked Tomljanovic | 4c | 501.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Tomljanovic | 46c | 484.92$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.01 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Muchova | 65c | 483.47$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.25 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Tomljanovic | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Tomljanovic | 39c | 454$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.41 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…349fbacked Muchova | 59c | 423.96$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Tomljanovic | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 138 | 16.7%23 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Muchova | 69c | 394.72$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.38 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…7a49backed Tomljanovic | 37c | 388.43$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.07 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Muchova | 70c | 350$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Muchova | 75c | 345.88$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.25 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Tomljanovic | 40c | 343.81$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.83 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Tomljanovic | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Muchova | 61c | 329.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.41 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Muchova | 38c | 306.55$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.68 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Muchova | 57c | 305$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b7…8b0cbacked Tomljanovic | 37c | 300.64$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.13 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Tomljanovic | 56c | 290$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.4 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked Tomljanovic | 42c | 287.05$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.29 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Tomljanovic | 36c | 278.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d7…7e85backed Tomljanovic | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…0cd8backed Muchova | 61c | 274.39$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…badfbacked Muchova | 70c | 244.87$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc669…53eabacked Muchova | 61c | 230$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.8 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Muchova | 51c | 228.92$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.02 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…280ebacked Muchova | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed Muchova | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…d794backed Tomljanovic | 36c | 197.52$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.73 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7147…9a01backed Tomljanovic | 34c | 196.54$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…edf8backed Tomljanovic | 31c | 181.83$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Tomljanovic | 27c | 178.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Muchova | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 360 | 38.9%140 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x164e…c2a2backed Muchova | 52c | 174.27$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.65 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Muchova | 67c | 172.29$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.29 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Tomljanovic | 30c | 155.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Muchova | 59c | 152.87$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Muchova | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Tomljanovic | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…8360backed Muchova | 68c | 149.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a51…14bfbacked Tomljanovic | 55c | 146.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Muchova | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Muchova | 73c | 138.36$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Tomljanovic | 40c | 138.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed Muchova | 67c | 135$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Tomljanovic | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Tomljanovic | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Muchova | 58c | 127.64$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 497 | 49.9%248 W · 249 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane International: Karolina Muchova vs Ajla Tomljanovicthis page
- Muchova vs. Tomljanovic: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Muchova vs TomljanovicTomljanovic won
- Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Tomljanovic (+1.5)Tomljanovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.