TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc669…53ea

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
129
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Dota2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 53 out of 100; worst NFL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT7266.7%48 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Jaume Munar vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$11.78
Madrid Open: Belinda Bencic vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.55
Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$76.62
Madrid Open: Andrey Rublev vs Vit Koprivabacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.81
Oeiras 4: Linda Klimovicova vs Yue Yuanbacked Yue Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.79
Madrid Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$19.76
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.62
Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Sofia Keninbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$31.62
Madrid Open: Patrick Kypson vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.51
Madrid Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Martin Dammbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.65
Madrid Open: Jaume Munar vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$39.99
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Madrid Open, Qualification: Sloane Stephens vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Sloane Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.69
Gwangju: Clement Chidekh vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.93
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchovabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.01
Oeiras 3: Roman Safiullin vs Henrique Rochabacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.45
BMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$28.5
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$81.39
Oeiras 3: Maja Chwalinska vs Robin Montgomerybacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$5.5
Busan: Alex Bolt vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.04
Wuning 2: Sergey Fomin vs Fajing Sunbacked Fajing Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$20.56
Santa Cruz: Matias Soto vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Matias Soto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$19.76
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Jelena Ostapenko vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$25.59
Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$6.71
Oeiras 3: Greet Minnen vs Petra Marcinkobacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.98
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT2075%15 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$25.59
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Trail Blazers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+35.1%+$26
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$72.5
Jazz vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$80.3
Bucks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+38.9%+$56
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Knicks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Nets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+48.1%+$6.5
Pelicans vs. Wizardsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+42.9%+$59.99
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Bucks vs. Kingsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+30.4%+$7
Spread: Warriors (-12.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+34.2%+$5.1
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+29%+$4.5
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Delaware State Hornets vs. Morgan State Bearsbacked Delaware State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$31.32
Towson Tigers vs. Hofstra Pridebacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$27.99
California Golden Bears vs. Stanford Cardinalbacked California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+25%+$6
Texas State Bobcats vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleersbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.8
Colorado State Rams vs. Boise State Broncosbacked Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.6
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Norfolk State Spartansbacked Norfolk State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20.7
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Manhattan Jaspersbacked Manhattan Jaspers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$71.1
Seattle Redhawks vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+48.1%+$6.5
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$154.05
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+80.2%+$169.38
Will Kirsten Gillibrand be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.4%+$6.63
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 29, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,287Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+29.1%+$374.11
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$307.58
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$190.19
All 8 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$74.8
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$31.79
Jets vs. Jaguarsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$542Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$542
Raiders vs. Eaglesbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$599.7
All 5 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Perú Rejects vs Heroic (BO5)backed Perú Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+35.1%+$26
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+28.2%+$44
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Trailer Park Boys (BO3)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,328Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$2,328.49
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,624Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+251.2%+$4,079.25
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas A&M vs. Missouribacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+37.8%+$113.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$49
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+30.9%+$118
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+28.2%+$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$199.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$59
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs CSDIILIT (BO3)backed HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.