NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4380fb5fe340a5fee2ba26db908c05c56259d43603eb24353dcf0e39587e0569
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Pelicans, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,278,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,345,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,278,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,535 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x060e…2384backed Pelicans | 31c | 218,351$67,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,688.8 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Magic | 70c | 105,000$73,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,500 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Magic | 64c | 97,149$62,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,790.31 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pelicans | 30c | 83,333$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Magic | 49c | 58,127$28,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,525.02 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Magic | 69c | 45,000$31,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,732.09 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Magic | 50c | 40,963$20,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,660.85 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pelicans | 34c | 39,553$13,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,293.96 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Pelicans | 30c | 30,000$9,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,099.98 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 62c | 26,929$16,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200.95 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 69c | 26,490$18,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,275.54 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Pelicans | 37c | 23,963$8,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,881.18 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…cc31backed Pelicans | 31c | 22,000$6,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,820 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d56…7486backed Magic | 70c | 22,000$15,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Magic | 70c | 20,458$14,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,131.73 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Magic | 69c | 18,207$12,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,644.08 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Pelicans | 30c | 17,235$5,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,170.5 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b5…b099backed Pelicans | 31c | 17,000$5,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,270 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Magic | 52c | 16,897$8,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,165.14 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans | 57c | 16,110$9,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,188.96 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaba…51debacked Magic | 49c | 14,858$7,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,615.16 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…964abacked Magic | 70c | 14,722$10,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,416.73 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Pelicans | 30c | 14,058$4,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,210.19 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 69c | 13,820$9,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,235.14 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Pelicans | 28c | 13,000$3,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,662.13 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Magic | 69c | 12,454$8,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,860.74 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Pelicans | 30c | 12,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.97 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Magic | 70c | 11,624$8,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,476.86 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Pelicans | 30c | 11,231$3,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,369.3 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa4…a930backed Magic | 69c | 11,000$7,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,410 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +84%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Pelicans | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Magic | 57c | 8,988$5,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,877.85 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4331…39e5backed Pelicans | 30c | 8,600$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Pelicans | 30c | 8,333$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.98 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Pelicans | 31c | 8,065$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Pelicans | 62c | 8,022$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Magic | 63c | 7,999$5,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,927.56 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 56c | 7,889$4,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,502.77 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…5a2dbacked Pelicans | 30c | 7,792$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.83 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pelicans | 53c | 7,792$4,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,112.38 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Magic | 76c | 7,680$5,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.93 | 202 | 49.5%100 W · 102 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6218…f388backed Pelicans | 21c | 7,444$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Pelicans | 30c | 7,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.99 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Pelicans | 40c | 6,662$2,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,693.18 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Magic | 47c | 6,095$2,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240.42 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb597…16bdbacked Magic | 70c | 6,020$4,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Pelicans | 30c | 5,689$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.77 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Magic | 48c | 5,463$2,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,844 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pelicans | 47c | 5,205$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,468.35 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Magic | 49c | 5,104$2,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.41 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Pelicans | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Magic | 70c | 4,841$3,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.76 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Magic | 69c | 4,741$3,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.59 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 69c | 4,629$3,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.02 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…7ba5backed Magic | 70c | 4,601$3,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.29 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Pelicans | 29c | 4,600$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.94 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Magic | 36c | 4,574$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,912.53 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa31…c537backed Magic | 70c | 4,500$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Magic | 67c | 4,426$2,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.86 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Pelicans | 0c | 4,419$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Pelicans | 46c | 4,390$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pelicans | 33c | 4,369$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.06 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Magic | 47c | 4,341$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295.21 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Pelicans | 37c | 4,294$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.73 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Magic | 59c | 4,260$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.1 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Magic | 64c | 4,109$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.42 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Pelicans | 0c | 4,006$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Pelicans | 61c | 4,000$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,447.93 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Magic | 65c | 3,866$2,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.1 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Magic | 69c | 3,859$2,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.25 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…9ff6backed Magic | 27c | 3,651$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650.75 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed Pelicans | 30c | 3,632$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.75 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Magic | 47c | 3,611$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.32 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9bc3backed Pelicans | 35c | 3,586$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Pelicans | 31c | 3,545$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.65 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Pelicans | 21c | 3,488$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.32 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…e68cbacked Pelicans | 30c | 3,350$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 350 | 50.6%177 W · 173 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Magic | 47c | 3,213$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.6 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Magic | 69c | 3,206$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.49 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pelicans | 30c | 3,184$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.2 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Magic | 62c | 3,099$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.4 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Magic | 70c | 3,045$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.5 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Pelicans | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Pelicans | 30c | 2,975$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.69 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Pelicans | 68c | 2,941$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Pelicans | 74c | 2,900$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x323d…a536backed Magic | 70c | 2,800$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Magic | 74c | 2,706$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.64 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Pelicans | 36c | 2,703$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.49 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b9…0024backed Pelicans | 40c | 2,664$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Magic | 54c | 2,541$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.11 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…512bbacked Pelicans | 26c | 2,530$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.95 | 219 | 35.6%78 W · 141 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked Magic | 32c | 2,518$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.22 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Pelicans | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65de…9846backed Magic | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Pelicans | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Magic | 75c | 2,453$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.18 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d26…1c15backed Magic | 70c | 2,372$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.73 | 224 | 59.4%133 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Pelicans | 30c | 2,359$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.81 | 399 | 58.4%233 W · 166 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Pelicans | 30c | 2,340$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Magicthis page
- Pelicans vs. Magic: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Magic: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Magic: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Magic: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.