NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Magic: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a6480dea57cfb9de3c43b760a2eac5dab3990919453bcfc6b34e946a5a2cf0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $183,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 34,663$16,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,206.98 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…d8b6backed Over | 56c | 32,585$18,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,460.97 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 53c | 13,626$7,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,346.22 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…a744backed Under | 51c | 12,000$6,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,120 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x00f4…df59backed Over | 49c | 12,000$5,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,120 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 9,200$4,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,104.33 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 48c | 8,275$4,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,001.6 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9f…6d90backed Over | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,179.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 5,688$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.44 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 5,133$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530.03 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Under | 52c | 4,702$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.94 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…3ad0backed Over | 52c | 4,538$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,178.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 50c | 4,175$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.26 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 52c | 3,753$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.56 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…2cdfbacked Over | 54c | 3,728$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.24 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 51c | 3,393$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.53 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7f…fceabacked Under | 53c | 3,057$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ed…5c56backed Under | 53c | 2,943$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 2,469$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.24 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 47c | 1,537$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.66 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Over | 48c | 1,459$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.85 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…933fbacked Over | 51c | 1,433$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Over | 52c | 1,402$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.87 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 1,263$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.71 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 50c | 1,252$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.8 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 44c | 1,164$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.37 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 49c | 1,151$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.11 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 50c | 1,140$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.85 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 1,066$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 48c | 1,015$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.2 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 54c | 1,000$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.42 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 49c | 948.34$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.65 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Over | 54c | 928.04$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.04 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Under | 51c | 901$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.51 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Under | 51c | 784$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 50c | 616.5$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.25 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 68c | 613.61$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.82 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 51c | 588.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.19 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Under | 52c | 588.46$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Over | 50c | 550$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Under | 50c | 489.34$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.67 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 50c | 477$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…23d8backed Under | 52c | 470.81$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.82 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 52c | 363$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.24 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 47c | 322$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.34 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 6c | 305.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 50c | 242.74$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236d…5e45backed Under | 47c | 212.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Under | 70c | 200.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 336 | 50.6%170 W · 166 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 52c | 148.08$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 48c | 143.5$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.62 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 52c | 141.58$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 48c | 118.36$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -12.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…0899backed Under | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 40c | 103.73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 53c | 103.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b06…f9cebacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 93.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 66c | 90$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 49c | 89.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 49c | 87.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 52c | 87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Over | 41c | 86.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 337 | 30.3%102 W · 235 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Under | 46c | 83.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…cb14backed Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 56c | 66.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f8…97b3backed Under | 57c | 55.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Over | 54c | 53.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…af02backed Under | 52c | 47.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 48c | 45.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…0fa4backed Under | 58c | 43.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 51c | 41.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 51c | 41.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Under | 51c | 39.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Magic: O/U 234.5this page
- Pelicans vs. MagicMagic won
- Pelicans vs. Magic: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Magic: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Magic: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Magic: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.