NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Magic: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37a19912fd7d41f0b6af1f746bda2fd53b70eae735d846454f81cfa884e7a56d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Under | 50c | 98,003$49,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,001.56 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Over | 50c | 91,966$45,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,982.78 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 45c | 4,000$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 55c | 3,965$2,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.35 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…5e96backed Over | 51c | 3,110$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…220abacked Under | 49c | 3,110$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 2,188$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.67 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 51c | 1,801$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.49 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 51c | 1,631$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.66 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f40…92b2backed Over | 50c | 1,200$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.11 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 52c | 1,160$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.65 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 1,106$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.78 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…797abacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 810.22$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.45 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Over | 57c | 704.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.86 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Over | 48c | 616.92$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.8 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 49c | 611.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 50c | 534.42$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.1 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Over | 51c | 514.99$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.35 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 5c | 493$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…2509backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.57 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 48c | 292$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.16 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x806e…bfc2backed Over | 52c | 265.77$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Over | 53c | 259.62$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.02 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10ba…b202backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Under | 14c | 200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 95 | 15.8%15 W · 80 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Over | 56c | 123.31$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 42c | 123.24$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.83 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 47c | 115.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e84…bbc0backed Under | 14c | 104.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…2e25backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Under | 45c | 89.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…1872backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Under | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed Over | 50c | 55.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…d2bbbacked Over | 44c | 54.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 46c | 50.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 50c | 50.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…d10fbacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 46c | 49.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Under | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 51c | 40.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Under | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 202 | 41.1%83 W · 119 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 42c | 39.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 34.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Under | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 42c | 31.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 50c | 26.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Over | 50c | 25.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Under | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…efcebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…4abfbacked Over | 54c | 19.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Under | 67c | 18.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 54c | 18.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Magic: O/U 233.5this page
- Pelicans vs. MagicMagic won
- Pelicans vs. Magic: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Magic: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Magic: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.