NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51ff69b01b91251531345de75ddd5e88a6c73327960595035e84d07ee6acd461
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $207,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb889…a430backed Magic | 53c | 75,000$39,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,249.97 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Magic | 54c | 31,057$16,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,330.51 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pelicans | 48c | 22,873$10,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,963.45 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans | 47c | 20,160$9,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,475.2 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Pelicans | 46c | 19,271$8,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,864.75 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Pelicans | 47c | 12,758$5,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,996.08 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Pelicans | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Magic | 51c | 9,358$4,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,585.42 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…e842backed Magic | 52c | 9,346$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,486.15 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pelicans | 49c | 9,000$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,410 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Magic | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.93 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Magic | 52c | 7,668$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,667.93 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Pelicans | 46c | 7,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 51c | 6,083$3,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,116.55 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Pelicans | 47c | 5,400$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,538 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Pelicans | 48c | 5,316$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551.56 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Pelicans | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Magic | 52c | 4,667$2,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.93 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Magic | 52c | 4,580$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.31 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Magic | 51c | 4,493$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.57 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Magic | 46c | 4,441$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,386.18 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pelicans | 47c | 4,300$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Magic | 43c | 4,051$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.21 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Magic | 52c | 3,996$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.75 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans | 47c | 3,780$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.6 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Pelicans | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Magic | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Magic | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Pelicans | 49c | 1,929$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Pelicans | 56c | 1,837$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.55 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pelicans | 47c | 1,698$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.06 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca47…3ef4backed Pelicans | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Pelicans | 46c | 1,500$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Magic | 50c | 1,310$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pelicans | 50c | 1,201$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.65 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Magic | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.85 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans | 67c | 1,129$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.28 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pelicans | 57c | 1,001$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.68 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Pelicans | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Pelicans | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c19…3ec0backed Magic | 51c | 900.02$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.75 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Pelicans | 49c | 714.29$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Pelicans | 47c | 710.7$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.03 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Pelicans | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Magic | 51c | 673.94$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.23 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…1a3ebacked Pelicans | 47c | 614.62$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.87 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pelicans | 49c | 612$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pelicans | 48c | 612$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.4 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Pelicans | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Pelicans | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…a405backed Magic | 52c | 596$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.12 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Magic | 49c | 585.26$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.81 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pelicans | 57c | 566.08$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.5 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Pelicans | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84df…e3b8backed Pelicans | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans | 49c | 462.24$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7448…b4cfbacked Pelicans | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Pelicans | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…3030backed Pelicans | 57c | 393.87$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.59 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Pelicans | 5c | 387.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 158 | 7%11 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Magic | 54c | 362.96$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.96 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Magic | 39c | 343$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.42 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Magic | 48c | 331.73$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.74 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…a052backed Pelicans | 49c | 306.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.14 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Magic | 29c | 304.67$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.65 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Pelicans | 11c | 300$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 95 | 15.8%15 W · 80 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad44…db14backed Pelicans | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pelicans | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Magic | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Pelicans | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Pelicans | 60c | 234.02$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Magic | 43c | 232.28$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.41 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Pelicans | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Pelicans | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Pelicans | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a52…c0e8backed Pelicans | 47c | 192.7$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.57 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Magic | 52c | 192.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.69 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…583fbacked Pelicans | 67c | 183.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.73 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Pelicans | 49c | 176.76$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.61 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Pelicans | 47c | 167.56$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…dc3dbacked Pelicans | 61c | 164.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Pelicans | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Magic | 68c | 147.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Magic | 15c | 140.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.82 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3e36…6ce1backed Magic | 51c | 133.33$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 48c | 128.48$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Magic | 52c | 127.1$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Magic | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…67cbbacked Magic | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf891…d3b6backed Magic | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Pelicans | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Pelicans | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Pelicans | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a4…d70cbacked Magic | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pelicans | 63c | 99.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Magic | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Magic | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed Magic | 53c | 93.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans | 48c | 92.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)this page
- Pelicans vs. MagicMagic won
- Pelicans vs. Magic: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Magic: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Magic: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Magic: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.