Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Perú Rejects vs Heroic (BO5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x723f045aa72621e0d2a628cc9cb3183724f46897cbdba4a39f19a933fe68d359
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Perú Rejectsof Perú Rejects, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heroic | 33c | 3,190$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.93 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Perú Rejects | 56c | 3,006$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.19 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Heroic | 39c | 2,739$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.23 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Heroic | 1c | 1,324$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b73…7421backed Perú Rejects | 43c | 1,306$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Heroic | 2c | 981.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Perú Rejects | 30c | 826.52$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.61 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe089…f441backed Perú Rejects | 80c | 733.96$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Perú Rejects | 23c | 666.7$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.52 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Perú Rejects | 46c | 629.58$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.21 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Heroic | 54c | 623.92$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.6 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Heroic | 67c | 467.57$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.27 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4499…d102backed Perú Rejects | 43c | 449.65$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.3 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d7…1541backed Heroic | 44c | 360.65$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Heroic | 70c | 321.91$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.85 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…d371backed Perú Rejects | 36c | 315.16$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3efe…2ed8backed Heroic | 71c | 314.37$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Perú Rejects | 28c | 289.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.29 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Heroic | 20c | 233$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8478…4355backed Heroic | 25c | 210.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Heroic | 62c | 208.77$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.02 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Heroic | 64c | 203$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Perú Rejects | 24c | 200$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc00f…0f52backed Perú Rejects | 57c | 200$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Perú Rejects | 62c | 199.74$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Heroic | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked Perú Rejects | 70c | 146.77$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Heroic | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…5f8ebacked Heroic | 78c | 131.57$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Heroic | 10c | 130.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked Heroic | 40c | 126.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 238 | 49.6%118 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Perú Rejects | 35c | 115.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.45 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Perú Rejects | 15c | 114.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.11 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Heroic | 49c | 112.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf274…fcadbacked Perú Rejects | 67c | 111.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Heroic | 39c | 110.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f6…f506backed Heroic | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Perú Rejects | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc669…53eabacked Perú Rejects | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d80…7a4bbacked Perú Rejects | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Heroic | 53c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Heroic | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Heroic | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked Perú Rejects | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Heroic | 58c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc827…b06fbacked Heroic | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…b8a0backed Perú Rejects | 30c | 66.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed0…7ad5backed Heroic | 31c | 63.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Perú Rejects | 50c | 63.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Heroic | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…07f5backed Heroic | 66c | 56.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed Perú Rejects | 65c | 54.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Heroic | 33c | 53.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Heroic | 75c | 51.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…a5bebacked Perú Rejects | 38c | 39.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Perú Rejects | 60c | 30.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Heroic | 35c | 29.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Heroic | 70c | 23.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed Heroic | 66c | 22.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -82%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…e191backed Perú Rejects | 64c | 22.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ac…b988backed Heroic | 76c | 21.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81c…0a81backed Perú Rejects | 71c | 18.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1986…8842backed Perú Rejects | 65c | 18.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Perú Rejects | 62c | 16.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Perú Rejects vs Heroic (BO5)this page
- Dota 2: Perú Rejects vs Heroic - Game 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Dota 2: Perú Rejects vs Heroic - Game 2 WinnerPerú Rejects won
- Dota 2: Perú Rejects vs Heroic - Game 3 WinnerPerú Rejects won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.