TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Colorado State Rams vs. Boise State Broncos

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Boise State Broncosof Colorado State Rams, Boise State Broncos
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,450
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,982

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,450 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Boise State Broncos70c16,888$11,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,013.125,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb470…ba61backed Colorado State Rams1c11,279$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.481735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Colorado State Rams31c7,900$2,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,421.142,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Colorado State Rams31c4,566$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.8161446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Boise State Broncos70c4,280$2,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.546543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Colorado State Rams13c3,283$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.521,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Colorado State Rams33c3,030$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00035151.9%182 W · 169 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Boise State Broncos68c2,656$1,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.9261652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Colorado State Rams18c2,653$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.595,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Boise State Broncos67c2,310$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.315851.9%82 W · 76 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Boise State Broncos67c2,232$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.562,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Boise State Broncos72c2,075$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.4821248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Colorado State Rams33c1,950$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.41,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed Boise State Broncos73c1,919$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.777965.8%52 W · 27 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Colorado State Rams2c1,690$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405024%12 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Colorado State Rams26c1,572$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.9824444.7%109 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Colorado State Rams39c1,533$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60016135.4%57 W · 104 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Colorado State Rams30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45020026%52 W · 148 L+0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Colorado State Rams20c1,393$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.391,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Boise State Broncos80c1,363$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.854,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Boise State Broncos73c1,321$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.863,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Boise State Broncos79c1,320$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.032,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Colorado State Rams32c1,303$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.9621149.3%104 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa57…2ec9backed Colorado State Rams18c1,249$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.92933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Colorado State Rams26c1,229$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.582,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Colorado State Rams13c1,076$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9214021.4%30 W · 110 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Colorado State Rams32c1,008$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Boise State Broncos67c899.98$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.992,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Colorado State Rams13c800$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.71,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Colorado State Rams4c786.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.463993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Colorado State Rams30c729.99$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.326740.8%109 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Colorado State Rams16c703.68$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.7911439.5%45 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Colorado State Rams30c667.32$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.6912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Colorado State Rams3c646.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5112341.5%51 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Colorado State Rams16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Colorado State Rams33c604$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.274440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df1…2da7backed Colorado State Rams10c600$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618930.3%27 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Colorado State Rams30c592.55$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.98937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Colorado State Rams32c549.13$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.434,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Colorado State Rams6c548$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.885536.4%20 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Colorado State Rams8c507.14$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423910.3%4 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c36…4192backed Colorado State Rams32c460$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.230%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Colorado State Rams4c453.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9429442.9%126 W · 168 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcda0…6d11backed Colorado State Rams29c359.14$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.15540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed Colorado State Rams14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506619.7%13 W · 53 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Colorado State Rams18c321.72$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.542,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Colorado State Rams33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011444.7%51 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Colorado State Rams22c278.91$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6136535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Boise State Broncos68c250$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802250%11 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca0c…9c40backed Colorado State Rams16c232.67$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.692114.3%3 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-58.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Colorado State Rams21c230.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4536845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Boise State Broncos75c224.88$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.771,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Colorado State Rams18c199.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367646.1%35 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe681…6e1ebacked Colorado State Rams25c185.44$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick37cpaid-65.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Colorado State Rams11c165$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6517122.8%39 W · 132 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Colorado State Rams32c156$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9216755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda14…8efdbacked Boise State Broncos69c153.12$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.241553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc494…543cbacked Colorado State Rams31c145.26$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452650%13 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Boise State Broncos69c144$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6460548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Colorado State Rams26c129.85$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.863,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb8…846ebacked Boise State Broncos64c120.33$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.152657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Colorado State Rams21c115.63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.341,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dc7…c64cbacked Colorado State Rams20c113.9$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Colorado State Rams10c106.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5121342.3%90 W · 123 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Colorado State Rams30c99.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020024%48 W · 152 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Colorado State Rams30c96.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.852928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcd2…85b5backed Boise State Broncos70c95.07$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Boise State Broncos72c94.76$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.245953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Colorado State Rams38c93$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.342,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Colorado State Rams30c77$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.135050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf76b…8f52backed Colorado State Rams16c73.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.971931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…f6e6backed Boise State Broncos65c73.28$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x261b…b32bbacked Boise State Broncos68c72.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.851258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Colorado State Rams21c71.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.91,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Boise State Broncos68c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.41936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2001…29b8backed Colorado State Rams29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Colorado State Rams31c67.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2153646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd06…a25dbacked Boise State Broncos79c64$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b9…0a9bbacked Colorado State Rams32c63.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.327350.7%37 W · 36 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Boise State Broncos63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4915156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Colorado State Rams16c62.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.272927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-55.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad13…d3abbacked Colorado State Rams32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020234.2%69 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b96…f098backed Colorado State Rams22c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.94621.7%10 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cb6…ff78backed Boise State Broncos69c50.87$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.87977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5565…7693backed Boise State Broncos68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bd8…5c53backed Boise State Broncos68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162250%11 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Colorado State Rams31c49.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.492,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Boise State Broncos72c40.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2566831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ab3…1576backed Colorado State Rams32c40.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c0f…84b9backed Boise State Broncos70c35.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.88666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Colorado State Rams31c33.49$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3889146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c0…69d0backed Colorado State Rams38c31.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.966538.5%25 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Boise State Broncos68c31.25$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1075447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32f4…8dd9backed Boise State Broncos65c30.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc669…53eabacked Boise State Broncos68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6875%6 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd004…d54abacked Boise State Broncos65c29.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9917…569cbacked Boise State Broncos68c26.47$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.471681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick62cpaid+36.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x24a5…7f6abacked Boise State Broncos68c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-44.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0862…147dbacked Boise State Broncos69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf300…ca70backed Boise State Broncos71c18.79$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.451637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.