Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Colorado State Rams vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 141.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb67594d5c231f51b3a64b0ebad42d82aca876ca24adf5cf916b70d3db7f6dadd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.8 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 55c | 4,049$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.96 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Over | 48c | 1,073$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.92 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 52c | 1,045$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.4 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 54c | 855$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.69 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Over | 45c | 490$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.3 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 56c | 446$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.76 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Under | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…3f90backed Under | 55c | 346.73$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.7 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Under | 21c | 191$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 46c | 52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Over | 49c | 50.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 55c | 48.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado State Rams vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 141.5this page
- Colorado State Rams vs. Boise State BroncosBoise State Broncos won
- Colorado State Rams vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 138.5Over won
- Colorado State Rams vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 139.5Over won
- Spread: Boise State Broncos (-4.5)Boise State Broncos won
- Spread: Boise State Broncos (-5.5)Boise State Broncos won
- Spread: Boise State Broncos (-6.5)Colorado State Rams won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.