Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Boise State Broncos (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x662836fa40b6501647aa9f22cd3fd9b5d3e47e383749d7c2351f500105cd4e81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado State Ramsof Boise State Broncos, Colorado State Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Colorado State Rams | 56c | 13,593$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,993.39 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…05cbbacked Boise State Broncos | 44c | 4,563$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Boise State Broncos | 46c | 2,527$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.42 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b07…782bbacked Boise State Broncos | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Boise State Broncos | 44c | 1,847$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.58 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…49a2backed Boise State Broncos | 46c | 1,452$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…4ab1backed Colorado State Rams | 54c | 1,452$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4874…7123backed Boise State Broncos | 46c | 1,407$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1c…2b46backed Colorado State Rams | 54c | 1,407$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7425…c079backed Colorado State Rams | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea11…551abacked Boise State Broncos | 46c | 1,296$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Boise State Broncos | 47c | 1,140$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.29 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Boise State Broncos | 47c | 1,021$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.62 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Boise State Broncos | 44c | 635.7$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.96 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Colorado State Rams | 53c | 471$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.37 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Boise State Broncos | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Boise State Broncos | 46c | 384.5$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.87 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Boise State Broncos | 44c | 351.44$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.63 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boise State Broncos | 44c | 278$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.32 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Boise State Broncos | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Boise State Broncos | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Boise State Broncos | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe0…323bbacked Boise State Broncos | 17c | 108$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Boise State Broncos | 44c | 64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Boise State Broncos | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Boise State Broncos | 44c | 24.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Boise State Broncos | 47c | 24.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Colorado State Rams | 55c | 19.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Boise State Broncos (-6.5)this page
- Colorado State Rams vs. Boise State BroncosBoise State Broncos won
- Colorado State Rams vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 138.5Over won
- Colorado State Rams vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 139.5Over won
- Colorado State Rams vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 141.5Over won
- Spread: Boise State Broncos (-4.5)Boise State Broncos won
- Spread: Boise State Broncos (-5.5)Boise State Broncos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.