TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Boise State Broncos (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Boise State Broncosof Boise State Broncos, Colorado State Rams
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$532,830
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$537,374

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $532,830 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Colorado State Rams52c444,034$230,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230,551.2235945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Boise State Broncos48c400,000$192,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208,00021754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Colorado State Rams50c14,838$7,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,398.972,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Boise State Broncos52c12,541$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,040.8125556.1%143 W · 112 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Boise State Broncos50c12,323$6,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,161.445244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Boise State Broncos48c11,111$5,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,777.7213154.2%71 W · 60 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Boise State Broncos52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.9810745.8%49 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Boise State Broncos50c7,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50016954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Colorado State Rams48c6,258$3,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,028.3112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Colorado State Rams50c5,201$2,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600.569142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Boise State Broncos50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50011048.2%53 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Boise State Broncos52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.9930139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Boise State Broncos50c4,200$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.925759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Colorado State Rams51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Colorado State Rams50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002045%9 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Boise State Broncos50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50017050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Boise State Broncos53c2,830$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.1921248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Boise State Broncos50c2,253$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.345,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Boise State Broncos49c2,112$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.0789850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Colorado State Rams48c2,001$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.354,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Boise State Broncos48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0408351.8%43 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Colorado State Rams49c1,841$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8961330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e68…3215backed Colorado State Rams50c1,800$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Boise State Broncos51c1,700$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8339856.1%55 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Boise State Broncos49c1,344$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.6561652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Colorado State Rams50c1,212$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.4260548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57ba…d369backed Colorado State Rams50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Colorado State Rams41c990.18$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.085,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7c1b…e0e5backed Boise State Broncos52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.541163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Boise State Broncos51c771.59$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.0811946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Colorado State Rams51c658.86$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.021,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd20f…f5c7backed Boise State Broncos58c612.07$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.07944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Boise State Broncos49c571.92$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.798937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Colorado State Rams50c504$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25222250.9%113 W · 109 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Colorado State Rams48c459.95$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.8826740.8%109 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Boise State Broncos51c412.41$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.0811159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Boise State Broncos50c293.7$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.851,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef34…86b2backed Boise State Broncos52c293.63$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.944047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Boise State Broncos34c287$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.55650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Boise State Broncos53c264.15$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.154045%18 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Boise State Broncos52c259.62$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.6216248.1%78 W · 84 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Colorado State Rams47c245.2$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.712,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Boise State Broncos48c234.18$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.782,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Boise State Broncos51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9813851.4%71 W · 67 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Colorado State Rams50c199.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9718844.7%84 W · 104 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Boise State Broncos51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0819657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x79df…277ebacked Boise State Broncos53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.686154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Boise State Broncos50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7589146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Colorado State Rams22c147.36$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.586653%35 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ac…9955backed Colorado State Rams15c128.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.345438.9%21 W · 33 L+15.0wins+0.28per pick11cpaid+213.8%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Boise State Broncos52c119.46$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.754353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Colorado State Rams51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605545.5%25 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0343…5475backed Boise State Broncos52c117.31$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.311844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Boise State Broncos49c105.8$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9629442.9%126 W · 168 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ea…066ebacked Boise State Broncos50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507957%45 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x622f…9992backed Boise State Broncos51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Colorado State Rams50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014654.1%79 W · 67 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca6d…492bbacked Colorado State Rams50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505048%24 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Boise State Broncos51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0418656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeabd…8115backed Boise State Broncos51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.04850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abc…935ebacked Boise State Broncos53c97.95$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.51050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x635a…cccbbacked Boise State Broncos53c95.33$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Boise State Broncos56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.295650%28 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08f0…6cabbacked Boise State Broncos51c86.14$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.21650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Boise State Broncos51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.211147.7%53 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d15…2d65backed Colorado State Rams71c70.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.79666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Boise State Broncos49c69.64$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.529257.6%53 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a6e…1597backed Boise State Broncos72c69.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.365100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Boise State Broncos51c68.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6313050%65 W · 65 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56df…7f39backed Boise State Broncos72c68.2$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf415…01a4backed Boise State Broncos74c67.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick69cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc104…d8a2backed Boise State Broncos75c66.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bdf…7f09backed Boise State Broncos51c66.04$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3611858.5%69 W · 49 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7af1…51fabacked Colorado State Rams76c65.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62f4…f572backed Colorado State Rams76c65.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e0…90babacked Boise State Broncos79c63.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.244100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Boise State Broncos50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3053635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Boise State Broncos52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.815156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Boise State Broncos50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Colorado State Rams34c58.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7736942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x59bc…73ccbacked Boise State Broncos73c56.63$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.29540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-46.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fbb…a77bbacked Boise State Broncos51c52.08$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.525356.6%30 W · 23 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fe0…323bbacked Boise State Broncos40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306450%32 W · 32 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Boise State Broncos51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.021973.7%14 W · 5 L+5.4wins+0.28per pick46cpaid+56.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Boise State Broncos51c49.01$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.019151.6%47 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5990…c2edbacked Boise State Broncos62c48.34$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.57475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Colorado State Rams50c48.24$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1212341.5%51 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x417b…18d3backed Boise State Broncos53c46.69$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.941637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x408a…fb8cbacked Boise State Broncos57c45.26$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Boise State Broncos52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.21361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Boise State Broncos50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2062753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Boise State Broncos49c38.65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7118046.7%84 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x756d…04a9backed Boise State Broncos52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.461656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Boise State Broncos52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4628354.1%153 W · 130 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865a…901bbacked Boise State Broncos51c37.65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4512560%75 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x67ea…165fbacked Boise State Broncos51c37.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.35560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Boise State Broncos48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2536248.6%176 W · 186 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x191e…b6bebacked Boise State Broncos51c30.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.892669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+36.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb0ea…002fbacked Boise State Broncos51c29.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb39…6f51backed Boise State Broncos58c27.66$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.