TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x55ac…9955

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 71 out of 100 (+0.19 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 71 out of 100; worst NBA at 55.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST5438.9%21 W · 33 L+15.0wins+0.28per pick11cpaid+213.8%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Presbyterian Blue Hose vs. High Point Panthersbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+566.7%+$159.61
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+566.7%+$170
Arizona Wildcats vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$48
James Madison Dukes vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves (W)backed James Madison Dukes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$34
CSUN Matadors vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+566.7%+$170
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsbacked Arizona State Sun Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+566.7%+$170
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$44
George Mason Patriots vs. Rhode Island Ramsbacked Rhode Island Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+809.1%+$178
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Georgia State Panthersbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14.34
Temple Owls vs. UTSA Roadrunnersbacked Temple Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+595.3%+$183.87
Xavier Musketeers vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked Xavier Musketeers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$21.58
Dayton Flyers vs. La Salle Explorersbacked La Salle Explorers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+1,076.5%+$366
Stonehill Skyhawks vs. St. Francis (PA) Red Flashbacked Stonehill Skyhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Providence Friars vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Marquette Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+809.1%+$178
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. VCU Ramsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+566.7%+$170
Merrimack College Warriors vs. Marist Red Foxes: O/U 133.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+614.3%+$104.06
Bryant Bulldogs vs. NJIT Highlanders: O/U 133.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Bryant Bulldogs vs. NJIT Highlanders: O/U 132.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Northeastern Huskies vs. Monmouth Hawksbacked Monmouth Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+566.7%+$170
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-7.5)backed Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+809.1%+$105.81
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. UNCW Seahawks: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+614.3%+$172
Missouri State Bears vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raidersbacked Missouri State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13.64
Kansas City Roos vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbits: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Morgan State Bears vs. Delaware State Hornetsbacked Delaware State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$32.43
Northwestern State Demons vs. Incarnate Word Cardinalsbacked Northwestern State Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3818.4%7 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick10cpaid+85.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Trail Blazers vs. Celticsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$29.8
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+769.6%+$354
Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.43
Nets vs. Bulls: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15.7
Tyler Herro: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$24.54
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+1,328.6%+$372
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Hornets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 114.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Suns vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+809.1%+$89
1H Spread: Celtics (-1.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+609.2%+$85.9
Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Wizards vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.