Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Missouri State Bears vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64a7c796d2bcc03b3836830603bd5784a54ed0ceb1b08ba8e6186e33913133fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raidersof Missouri State Bears, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 62c | 3,874$2,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.91 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 58c | 2,222$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.08 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Missouri State Bears | 36c | 2,216$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Missouri State Bears | 34c | 1,612$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.54 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed Missouri State Bears | 11c | 1,600$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Missouri State Bears | 36c | 1,126$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.66 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Missouri State Bears | 68c | 1,112$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.01 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5f6ebacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 38c | 1,090$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +161.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 61c | 638.25$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.32 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 63c | 609.86$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.38 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Missouri State Bears | 15c | 399.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Missouri State Bears | 59c | 375.61$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.85 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 71c | 373.08$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.19 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 67c | 352.87$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.78 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa194…a62abacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 76c | 331.74$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 67c | 316.42$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.42 | 190 | 57.4%109 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Missouri State Bears | 27c | 300.29$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.36 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 64c | 297.74$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.02 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Missouri State Bears | 31c | 257.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.28 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 27c | 231.41$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.92 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Missouri State Bears | 29c | 224$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Missouri State Bears | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Missouri State Bears | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Missouri State Bears | 29c | 144$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb281…d32fbacked Missouri State Bears | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Missouri State Bears | 57c | 135$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.86 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Missouri State Bears | 9c | 134.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Missouri State Bears | 18c | 116$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ac…9955backed Missouri State Bears | 12c | 113.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +15.0wins | +0.28per pick | 11cpaid | +213.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Missouri State Bears | 23c | 112.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…58fcbacked Missouri State Bears | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ceb…3656backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…f17dbacked Missouri State Bears | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Missouri State Bears | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Missouri State Bears | 31c | 95.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 69c | 95.61$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Missouri State Bears | 12c | 90$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 71c | 88.23$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…3edcbacked Missouri State Bears | 67c | 82.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Missouri State Bears | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Missouri State Bears | 59c | 77.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Missouri State Bears | 17c | 74.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Missouri State Bears | 40c | 61.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Missouri State Bears | 22c | 60.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 56c | 58.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…9c40backed Missouri State Bears | 36c | 57.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 71c | 56.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…4f15backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 67c | 54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Missouri State Bears | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…8286backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 25c | 47.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +298.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc8…4d6fbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…8065backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 73c | 41.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 75c | 40.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0567…247cbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 44c | 36.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…3053backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 58c | 35.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…9fddbacked Missouri State Bears | 59c | 29.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6427…56bbbacked Missouri State Bears | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 73c | 17.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Missouri State Bears vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raidersthis page
- Missouri State Bears vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: O/U 137.5Over won
- Spread: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (-6.5)Missouri State Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.