Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Xavier Musketeers vs. Creighton Bluejays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2c07f22711dd26858c4206b098e958a29ac6dbb0f063c611c63c410b0a16e57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Creighton Bluejaysof Xavier Musketeers, Creighton Bluejays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Creighton Bluejays | 78c | 12,804$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,804.38 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Xavier Musketeers | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Creighton Bluejays | 73c | 2,643$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.84 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Xavier Musketeers | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Xavier Musketeers | 22c | 1,710$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.4 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Xavier Musketeers | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Xavier Musketeers | 21c | 1,353$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.41 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Xavier Musketeers | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Xavier Musketeers | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Xavier Musketeers | 26c | 933.47$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.09 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Xavier Musketeers | 2c | 900$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 104 | 8.7%9 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Xavier Musketeers | 21c | 832.22$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.99 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Xavier Musketeers | 26c | 789.83$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.79 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Xavier Musketeers | 2c | 634.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Xavier Musketeers | 25c | 623.07$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.77 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Creighton Bluejays | 73c | 556$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.82 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Xavier Musketeers | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Creighton Bluejays | 64c | 495.32$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.34 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Xavier Musketeers | 37c | 459$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.61 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Xavier Musketeers | 69c | 424.31$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.34 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Creighton Bluejays | 37c | 413.06$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.58 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Creighton Bluejays | 66c | 351.95$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.44 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Xavier Musketeers | 7c | 350$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Xavier Musketeers | 21c | 312.3$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Creighton Bluejays | 45c | 232.08$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.69 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Creighton Bluejays | 70c | 219.84$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Xavier Musketeers | 27c | 215$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Xavier Musketeers | 54c | 197.58$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.49 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Xavier Musketeers | 27c | 183.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ac…9955backed Xavier Musketeers | 12c | 179.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +15.0wins | +0.28per pick | 11cpaid | +213.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Xavier Musketeers | 68c | 176$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.33 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Xavier Musketeers | 24c | 166.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Xavier Musketeers | 28c | 152.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4338…648ebacked Xavier Musketeers | 69c | 130.09$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Xavier Musketeers | 78c | 122.43$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.03 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Creighton Bluejays | 38c | 121$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.35 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Xavier Musketeers | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Xavier Musketeers | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Creighton Bluejays | 27c | 98.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.36 | 171 | 22.8%39 W · 132 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Xavier Musketeers | 46c | 94.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Xavier Musketeers | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Creighton Bluejays | 41c | 79.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.94 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked Creighton Bluejays | 34c | 77.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Xavier Musketeers | 21c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Xavier Musketeers | 26c | 73.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed Xavier Musketeers | 25c | 68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Xavier Musketeers | 23c | 62.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1236…653cbacked Xavier Musketeers | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Xavier Musketeers | 26c | 57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Creighton Bluejays | 71c | 51.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Creighton Bluejays | 79c | 50.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Xavier Musketeers | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Xavier Musketeers | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Creighton Bluejays | 61c | 49.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Xavier Musketeers | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Xavier Musketeers | 73c | 40.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Xavier Musketeers | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Creighton Bluejays | 67c | 36.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Creighton Bluejays | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Xavier Musketeers | 33c | 30.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f8…f29cbacked Creighton Bluejays | 74c | 25.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d2…fa44backed Creighton Bluejays | 74c | 24.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc506…39fdbacked Creighton Bluejays | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 73cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Xavier Musketeers | 67c | 18.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Creighton Bluejays | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Creighton Bluejays | 75c | 13.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Xavier Musketeers vs. Creighton Bluejaysthis page
- Spread: Creighton Bluejays (-7.5)Xavier Musketeers won
- Xavier Musketeers vs. Creighton Bluejays: O/U 155.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.