Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Creighton Bluejays (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x265d50cede99abdcab3e3d52d7be506f06d773da5fde50a6bf4bd96939afd330
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xavier Musketeersof Creighton Bluejays, Xavier Musketeers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Creighton Bluejays | 53c | 7,038$3,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,729.38 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Xavier Musketeers | 47c | 2,233$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.36 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Xavier Musketeers | 47c | 1,939$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.45 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Xavier Musketeers | 49c | 628.11$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.02 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Xavier Musketeers | 47c | 446.81$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.81 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Xavier Musketeers | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Xavier Musketeers | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Xavier Musketeers | 47c | 220$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Xavier Musketeers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Xavier Musketeers | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Xavier Musketeers | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Xavier Musketeers | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Xavier Musketeers | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Xavier Musketeers | 47c | 84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Xavier Musketeers | 47c | 81.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Creighton Bluejays | 50c | 46.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Creighton Bluejays | 54c | 39.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5f…c982backed Xavier Musketeers | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +99%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de1…35f3backed Creighton Bluejays | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Creighton Bluejays (-7.5)this page
- Xavier Musketeers vs. Creighton BluejaysCreighton Bluejays won
- Xavier Musketeers vs. Creighton Bluejays: O/U 155.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.