TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$369,467
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$371,228

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $369,467 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x929e…f3b8backed Under56c25,000$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,000771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+29.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x323f…bd8dbacked Over44c17,467$7,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,781.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0187…5823backed Over44c17,256$7,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,663.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde44…e8b9backed Over44c17,242$7,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,655.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4a2…1231backed Over44c16,274$7,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,113.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf91a…4267backed Over44c12,663$5,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,091.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+43.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71a2…b21cbacked Under56c12,068$6,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,758.08540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bf4…05f3backed Under56c11,964$6,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,699.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58f1…e326backed Under56c11,813$6,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,615.28425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5337…8fcfbacked Over44c10,484$4,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,871.04333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4463…c195backed Over44c10,093$4,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,652.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc990…8c0bbacked Over44c9,775$4,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4741100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65c9…2fc1backed Over44c8,979$3,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,028.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd802…49a9backed Over44c8,844$3,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,952.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa833…d10cbacked Over44c8,641$3,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,838.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+43.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59b4…c4bebacked Over44c8,600$3,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,816250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ae…79fdbacked Over44c8,458$3,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,736.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedd2…557abacked Over44c8,441$3,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,726.96475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+65.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc517…2476backed Under56c8,210$4,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,597.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe191…aca4backed Over44c8,193$3,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,588.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cda…2100backed Over44c8,111$3,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,542.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+48.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3704…bc56backed Over44c8,051$3,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,508.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf16…0949backed Under56c8,027$4,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,495.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7500…059bbacked Over44c7,984$3,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,471.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01e…9267backed Over44c7,936$3,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,444.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7c…d43fbacked Under56c7,869$4,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,406.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d7c…533abacked Under56c7,327$4,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,103.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1254…a764backed Over44c7,285$3,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,079.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc835…cf77backed Under56c7,217$4,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,041.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e4e…c135backed Over44c7,137$3,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,996.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b2e…3464backed Over44c7,117$3,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,985.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce47…5130backed Over44c7,075$3,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9621100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15c8…cae5backed Under56c7,059$3,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,953.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d02…65e4backed Under56c7,037$3,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,940.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae7…2a9ebacked Under56c6,910$3,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,869.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b53…4af5backed Under56c6,887$3,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,856.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x478e…a125backed Over44c6,853$3,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,837.68683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+72.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xedbd…d4f5backed Over44c6,847$3,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,834.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+43.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf2…4d74backed Under56c6,734$3,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,771.04425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe031…8839backed Over44c6,534$2,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,659.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff0e…5f01backed Under56c6,505$3,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,642.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d65…80d7backed Under56c6,409$3,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,589.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67d5…b4ebbacked Under56c6,391$3,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,578.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x760e…55b7backed Over44c6,379$2,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,572.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb36f…9683backed Over44c6,355$2,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,558.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7003…be97backed Over44c6,347$2,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,554.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x047c…3596backed Under56c6,306$3,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,531.36333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb784…828cbacked Under56c6,243$3,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,496.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb09d…abb4backed Under56c6,094$3,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,412.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd72…8e66backed Over44c6,038$2,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,381.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cb2…eddbbacked Under56c6,027$3,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,375.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xded1…1738backed Under56c6,023$3,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,372.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cf3…f71bbacked Under56c6,015$3,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,368.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f1b…e9eebacked Over44c5,944$2,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,328.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb93d…30a9backed Under56c5,938$3,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,325.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc32…2f9cbacked Under56c5,926$3,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,318.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…46d2backed Under56c5,867$3,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,285.52425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd725…ca11backed Under56c5,849$3,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,275.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf623…dca9backed Under56c5,843$3,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,272.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x118c…70e0backed Under56c5,757$3,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,223.92333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13d0…328cbacked Over44c5,722$2,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,204.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d54…b335backed Under56c5,704$3,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,194.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13c6…b5b2backed Under56c5,606$3,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,139.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd57…2e0abacked Under56c5,606$3,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,139.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x015f…13d4backed Under56c5,571$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,119.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7d…7b70backed Under56c5,565$3,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,116.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x630f…a6d6backed Under56c5,497$3,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,078.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8d6…6076backed Under56c5,460$3,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,057.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4357…e759backed Over44c5,429$2,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,040.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x173f…e077backed Under56c5,400$3,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,02410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd65e…afc8backed Under56c5,358$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa7…d4dbbacked Under56c5,298$2,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,967.09560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e8…45ecbacked Over44c5,192$2,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,907.52475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick33cpaid+70.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4db2…7916backed Over44c5,125$2,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8701100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8d1…f4f9backed Under56c5,051$2,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,828.56425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-57.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9857…9a93backed Over44c5,006$2,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,803.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x467b…afbbbacked Over44c4,980$2,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,788.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ee3…8a27backed Over44c4,949$2,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,767.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e44…975fbacked Over44c4,942$2,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,767.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+53.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…71f2backed Under56c4,883$2,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,734.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf122…69d9backed Under56c4,846$2,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,713.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8eec…6875backed Over44c4,699$2,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,631.443100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+79.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9b…b6fbbacked Over44c4,678$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,619.68475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick34cpaid+64.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9c1…ed7bbacked Under56c4,568$2,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,558.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd124…fea0backed Under56c4,446$2,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,489.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bbc…fa36backed Under56c4,161$2,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,330.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5840…5862backed Under56c4,108$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,300.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under58c4,100$2,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,377.591,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f4…19e4backed Under56c4,086$2,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,288.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b61…3786backed Under56c4,064$2,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,275.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ffb…b00bbacked Under56c3,853$2,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,157.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09fd…c614backed Over44c3,851$1,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,156.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee63…b46cbacked Under56c3,847$2,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,154.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70fb…2a2fbacked Over44c3,800$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,128250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over42c3,464$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.123,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1887…f777backed Under56c3,350$1,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,87620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6352…4b20backed Under56c3,201$1,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0821…a23abacked Under56c3,182$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,781.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9bb…f334backed Under56c3,135$1,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,755.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd173…b57cbacked Under56c2,594$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.