NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ae004902b1d46a6594e358c4ef4dd561f3763faf6d0941a3f7366850944b5ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $737,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $751,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $737,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Thunder | 48c | 489,131$234,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254,348.23 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Cavaliers | 52c | 400,000$208,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208,000 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Cavaliers | 52c | 65,090$33,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,846.59 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 47c | 48,426$22,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,665.93 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Cavaliers | 53c | 21,294$11,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,285.83 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 47c | 20,211$9,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,687.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Cavaliers | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Thunder | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Cavaliers | 52c | 18,573$9,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,657.7 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Thunder | 47c | 18,091$8,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,588.23 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Cavaliers | 53c | 14,328$7,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,524.36 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Cavaliers | 53c | 11,111$5,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,888.82 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Cavaliers | 53c | 10,800$5,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,724 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Cavaliers | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Cavaliers | 53c | 9,456$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Cavaliers | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Thunder | 48c | 8,239$3,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,284.45 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec1b…7d1dbacked Thunder | 47c | 7,022$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,721.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c9…0dbdbacked Thunder | 47c | 7,011$3,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,715.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9470…9cb5backed Thunder | 47c | 6,565$3,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Thunder | 48c | 6,263$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.39 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Thunder | 47c | 5,900$2,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,127 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Thunder | 49c | 5,747$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,958.56 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8082…8c31backed Thunder | 47c | 5,562$2,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,947.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Cavaliers | 53c | 4,830$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Thunder | 47c | 4,124$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.83 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Cavaliers | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.99 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Cavaliers | 53c | 3,852$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.57 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x003a…ff7cbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 3,276$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x720b…2d82backed Cavaliers | 53c | 3,133$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8633…af75backed Cavaliers | 53c | 3,123$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…b8c4backed Cavaliers | 53c | 3,109$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8082…4790backed Cavaliers | 53c | 3,087$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…9c42backed Cavaliers | 53c | 3,052$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b47…64cdbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 3,005$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf221…9c09backed Cavaliers | 53c | 2,998$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 2,864$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.02 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Cavaliers | 53c | 2,831$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.42 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Cavaliers | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c7…7981backed Cavaliers | 53c | 2,717$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…60e3backed Cavaliers | 53c | 2,686$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Cavaliers | 53c | 2,648$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.33 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x582e…35b0backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,591$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1679…e6aabacked Thunder | 48c | 2,578$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f74…3ba0backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,568$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed06…0d78backed Thunder | 48c | 2,558$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…1f50backed Thunder | 48c | 2,546$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.92 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x347d…d5ccbacked Thunder | 48c | 2,541$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…aab4backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,540$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4986…37e7backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,524$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Thunder | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.97 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,173$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.96 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,021$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.97 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cavaliers | 53c | 1,888$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8e…f0ecbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 1,780$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,755$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.05 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,700$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 61c | 1,532$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.2 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Thunder | 48c | 1,523$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.96 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Thunder | 47c | 1,400$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.07 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e27…ac7bbacked Thunder | 47c | 1,280$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc454…feabbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 1,212$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a52…1b1ebacked Thunder | 47c | 1,201$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Thunder | 47c | 1,180$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.4 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…87cabacked Cavaliers | 53c | 1,147$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 48c | 1,108$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.16 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0376…ca32backed Thunder | 47c | 1,094$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 1,042$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Thunder | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a2…a9fabacked Thunder | 47c | 1,041$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Cavaliers | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Thunder | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…af80backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5c…6c0fbacked Cavaliers | 40c | 1,000$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Cavaliers | 53c | 999.98$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.99 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…3494backed Thunder | 47c | 902$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Cavaliers | 10c | 901.34$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae4…0b5dbacked Thunder | 47c | 862$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Cavaliers | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Cavaliers | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers | 15c | 796.39$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.58 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cavaliers | 28c | 762.25$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.46 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Thunder | 72c | 741.58$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.64 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Cavaliers | 54c | 648.15$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Thunder | 49c | 612.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.62 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Cavaliers | 32c | 598.48$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…72a4backed Cavaliers | 53c | 560$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.8 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9219…d304backed Cavaliers | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…558abacked Cavaliers | 53c | 467.26$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.65 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Cavaliers | 49c | 450$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…6078backed Cavaliers | 53c | 440$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 62c | 406.04$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.06 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x190c…08c0backed Cavaliers | 51c | 392$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b54…3b6ebacked Thunder | 50c | 382$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f82…b570backed Cavaliers | 51c | 382$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.82 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…09f8backed Cavaliers | 51c | 380$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf99…639dbacked Thunder | 50c | 380$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. CavaliersThunder won
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.