NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8aa90905bd66db627e935d91932a5d8910ce92511eecfb8e050dbf41ea9dc556
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4e7…c1b7backed Over | 51c | 5,750$2,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,817.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c21…83a6backed Under | 49c | 5,100$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 53c | 4,502$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.01 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 43c | 4,129$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.58 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…0bdbbacked Over | 51c | 3,303$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…b09dbacked Under | 49c | 3,250$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…7a4cbacked Over | 51c | 3,120$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…fce5backed Over | 51c | 2,600$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5593…069abacked Under | 49c | 2,255$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…1f9bbacked Under | 49c | 2,137$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…587bbacked Under | 49c | 2,059$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.39 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5240…75c4backed Under | 49c | 1,652$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8a…b735backed Over | 51c | 1,414$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…5c87backed Under | 49c | 1,275$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd64c…d9bebacked Over | 51c | 1,223$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed Under | 8c | 1,200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbf…e6fdbacked Under | 49c | 1,183$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…abd0backed Over | 51c | 1,143$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…8ee6backed Under | 49c | 1,118$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x002b…b7bcbacked Over | 51c | 1,088$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b23…2693backed Under | 49c | 1,029$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d37…6a58backed Over | 51c | 1,011$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under | 4c | 1,000$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 85 | 12.9%11 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89a4…f3afbacked Over | 51c | 994$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Under | 13c | 934.2$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.45 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcebc…41c7backed Under | 49c | 891$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9be…6515backed Over | 51c | 887$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7917…7e15backed Under | 49c | 874$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 726.52$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.4 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Over | 53c | 608.88$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.88 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 3c | 561.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 554.67$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.62 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…6f1abacked Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6921…2345backed Under | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -12.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32d5…59cebacked Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 42c | 476.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.22 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 47c | 405$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.65 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Under | 4c | 400$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 158 | 7%11 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Under | 61c | 374.13$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.89 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…1eecbacked Over | 51c | 339$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.11 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Under | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 47c | 269$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.9 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 15c | 262$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under | 77c | 259.08$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.26 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 14c | 250$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 19c | 238.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 21c | 208.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.06 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ac…9955backed Under | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Over | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 49c | 85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 53c | 74.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 35c | 74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Under | 51c | 61.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 64c | 58.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 58c | 56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…cff9backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d3…420ebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1db…4877backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fc…aa69backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…7f27backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…3be4backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…52e6backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884c…851fbacked Over | 42c | 46.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -10.7wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Over | 43c | 46.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 43c | 44.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 42c | 43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 50c | 40.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…1e75backed Under | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 49c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Under | 61c | 32.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 60c | 31.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…65babacked Over | 47c | 30.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 38c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfd…920fbacked Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…d9c3backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -4.4wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 70c | 15.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. CavaliersThunder won
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.