TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6b1f…d9c3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
127
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$61.98
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.5
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.99
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$15.08
Cabo Verde vs. Bermuda: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
All 20 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick67cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Mito Holly Hock vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Gangwon FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
FC Tōkyō vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+60%+$7.5
Gamba Ōsaka vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$8.5
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
FC Anyang vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.12
Gamba Ōsaka vs. Avispa Fukuoka: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.7
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Avispa Fukuoka vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Watford FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Coventry City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.95
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$5.41
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.12
Sheffield United FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.73
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Sheffield United FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+43.9%+$12.2
Wrexham AFC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.8
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+25%+$3.6
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-4.4wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-60.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 203.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 29.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15.24
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Heat vs. Jazzbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+40.8%+$4.35
Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+100%+$33
Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick64cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick75cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT7100%7 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick75cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-61.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick78cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Chennai Open: Arina Rodionova vs Storm Hunterbacked Rodionova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+187.1%+$37.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$118
Iran strike on US military by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.K. join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Monaco FC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$24.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.