Asian League · resolved market
Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc23b6bb8709896b5b74c6b39768b9f1cb7a71d532b6eeb1e1c30f84742993c92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 45c | 734.86$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.46 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 52c | 667.23$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.15 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 25c | 599.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 55c | 419.12$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.71 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 32c | 308.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.13 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Over | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 45c | 299.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 75c | 250.05$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.51 | 94 | 67%63 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 72c | 232.11$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.12 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 54c | 220$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 193.83$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.06 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…607ebacked Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 55cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 44c | 137.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.46 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 71c | 135$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.85 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 59c | 124$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 346 | 59.8%207 W · 139 L | +49.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 60c | 110$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 65c | 104.97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +116%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 36c | 77.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 60c | 66.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 60c | 66.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 376 | 62.5%235 W · 141 L | +61.2wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 35c | 65.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 706 | 52.3%369 W · 337 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…a311backed Under | 32c | 64.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 64c | 58.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +56.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Under | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 64c | 52.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 51c | 46.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 68c | 34.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 62c | 34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…4a73backed Over | 59c | 33.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 51c | 31.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f6…4288backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 72cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93dd…2f33backed Under | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Over | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…d9c3backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 69c | 15.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-1.5)Pohang Steelers FC won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-2.5)Pohang Steelers FC won
- Spread: Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5)Incheon United FC won
- Spread: Pohang Steelers FC (-2.5)Incheon United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.