Asian League · resolved market
Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa08a39bdfbe19056db0a45cb3449b062b7f0614442b5aa05a94ec66e8df09769
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 2,191$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.37 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 48c | 1,146$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 47c | 1,059$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Yes | 51c | 962.53$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.89 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked No | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 44c | 324.15$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.82 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee3…4095backed No | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…5a4fbacked Yes | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 51c | 297.15$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.25 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa730…9b7cbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 53c | 203.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.03 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 50c | 120.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 56c | 117.82$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.73 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed No | 53c | 111.62$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd19c…160fbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed No | 50c | 90.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 54c | 85.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5a…e840backed No | 51c | 77.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 53c | 67.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 49c | 59.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 54c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 53c | 55.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed Yes | 46c | 52.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…24dabacked Yes | 46c | 47.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa6…9361backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Yes | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 69c | 22.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-1.5)Pohang Steelers FC won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-2.5)Pohang Steelers FC won
- Spread: Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5)Incheon United FC won
- Spread: Pohang Steelers FC (-2.5)Incheon United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.