Asian League · resolved market
Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15af2df92d9448e8680aca38b70d4bf186fbc3a41c0427f19d6f776e110d0410
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 1,953$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.2 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 32c | 1,471$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.13 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 31c | 1,263$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 67c | 1,089$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.01 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 10c | 299.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Over | 43c | 230$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -9.6wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 58c | 205$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 40c | 149.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.74 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 70c | 132.98$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 56c | 110$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 76c | 101.88$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 67c | 101.75$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 36c | 87.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 30c | 80.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…29a4backed Over | 36c | 70.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Under | 60c | 66.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…6c60backed Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 33c | 60.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 33c | 56.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked Under | 69c | 51.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Over | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Under | 59c | 49.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Over | 42c | 49.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Under | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…11f0backed Under | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Over | 27c | 37.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Over | 35c | 31.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 65c | 31.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 34c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 70c | 24.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 69c | 23.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 59c | 19.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 71c | 18.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-1.5)Pohang Steelers FC won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-2.5)Pohang Steelers FC won
- Spread: Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5)Incheon United FC won
- Spread: Pohang Steelers FC (-2.5)Incheon United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.