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Fifa International · resolved market

Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$180,384
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$177,606

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,384 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbd68…746abacked No62c16,095$9,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,947.47520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes41c15,685$6,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,226.834,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb52…f12ebacked No0c10,700$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7110%0 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed No57c7,000$3,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,99027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked No40c6,993$2,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,797.188660.5%52 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes25c6,305$1,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,709.3123644.9%106 W · 130 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed Yes43c6,000$2,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,419.964233.3%14 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-20.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes24c5,350$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,074.66048.3%29 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked No59c5,100$2,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,993.7716139.8%64 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a61…2727backed No41c5,021$2,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,058.523351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed No44c5,000$2,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.483554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x806e…2e52backed Yes61c4,130$2,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.089254.3%50 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x557e…5007backed No41c3,638$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.2721755.3%120 W · 97 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Yes41c3,633$1,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,143.191850%9 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+44.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dc5…a303backed Yes59c3,226$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.659330.1%28 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No44c2,999$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.5226940.9%110 W · 159 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde03…e629backed No60c2,389$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.42429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes51c2,260$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.7715149.7%75 W · 76 L+13.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x503a…8322backed No46c2,160$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9927047.1%33 W · 37 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Yes65c2,149$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.4320955.5%116 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes50c2,028$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.7950214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b20…8eafbacked No39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.996254.8%34 W · 28 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No56c1,860$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.2453448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa74…6bcbbacked Yes17c1,854$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.51450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+85.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked No8c1,709$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1926344.1%116 W · 147 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No62c1,533$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.8313953.2%74 W · 65 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x744c…e37fbacked Yes15c1,500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2754035%14 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x748a…3c56backed Yes62c1,500$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.482025%5 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes54c1,475$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.3887837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf7a…0c40backed Yes41c1,170$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.494216.7%7 W · 35 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-62.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.914027.5%11 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-38.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No49c1,122$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55043635.8%156 W · 280 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes57c1,101$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.668,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c2…198cbacked No41c1,100$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.99567.1%4 W · 52 L-6.1wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-74.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes54c1,084$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.3621239.6%84 W · 128 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes40c1,060$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.575335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No41c1,002$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.8219929.1%58 W · 141 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-37.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62018848.9%92 W · 96 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x769c…5c05backed Yes41c999.99$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5901330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes56c999.99$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44013748.2%66 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf579…9989backed Yes57c999.97$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.0616048.8%78 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No38c931.1$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.0812744.9%57 W · 70 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30d5…f0c8backed Yes61c887.99$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.328140.7%33 W · 48 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes38c848.88$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.3116540.6%67 W · 98 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27ca…2656backed No46c829.98$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.793759.5%22 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes48c801$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.488838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec8c…8961backed Yes54c800$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3683652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed No40c792.85$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.1412945%58 W · 71 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f81…fc4abacked Yes60c790$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3161050%5 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9df…421ebacked No41c790$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.9944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61cd…541ebacked No61c779.21$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.212365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes54c748.26$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.222125.8%57 W · 164 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-47.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bc0…ac69backed No41c738.59$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003844.7%17 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Yes44c700$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39213046.9%61 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes42c683.46$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.8734151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes26c672.62$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.2742640.1%171 W · 255 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes59c657.2$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.4510548.6%51 W · 54 L+11.1wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xb15f…f0c0backed Yes55c650$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.53164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+28.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes43c641.99$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.9340649.8%202 W · 204 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes56c618.59$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27147127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Yes38c598.51$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.3928547.7%136 W · 149 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e7d…ca41backed No42c523.87$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.187339.7%29 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26af…3fccbacked Yes60c518.47$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.47540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebab…cff5backed No42c500.1$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.91471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6de6…d900backed No78c500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3903050%15 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd50…6f97backed Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004524.4%11 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-37.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5947…c7dcbacked Yes59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20512443.5%54 W · 70 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e7c…596cbacked No60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020932.5%68 W · 141 L-1.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16f1…e1d1backed No57c499.99$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.9913846.4%64 W · 74 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1499…6690backed No38c497.47$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-50.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No51c492.09$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.1535033.7%118 W · 232 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ff…5b03backed No60c464.64$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.072313%3 W · 20 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-77.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes61c461$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.1426037.3%97 W · 163 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed No39c459.22$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.2313330.1%40 W · 93 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Yes44c456.7$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.716552.1%86 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked No40c442.97$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17513729.9%41 W · 96 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes59c425.52$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.5340355.3%223 W · 180 L-0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes42c423.42$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.372,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed Yes49c411.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.1414245.8%65 W · 77 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Yes53c400.22$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.6324028.8%69 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed No57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22815646.2%72 W · 84 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No22c400$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8617632.4%57 W · 119 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70f4…2d0fbacked No50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes43c391.52$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.1723543%101 W · 134 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes20c391.25$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3131,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Yes42c371.54$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.491850%9 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+41.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No42c360.96$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.1520652.9%109 W · 97 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a71…78c9backed Yes59c358.9$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.156342.9%27 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2567…fc9dbacked No57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012349.6%61 W · 62 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed No58c310.39$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.4425160.6%152 W · 99 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed No38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1148240.2%33 W · 49 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No42c299.98$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4932629.1%95 W · 231 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes32c294.75$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.4180225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25a7…8b7cbacked Yes54c277.21$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.215450%27 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yes31c274.78$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.3417945.3%81 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2956…d31bbacked No45c272.84$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.787142.3%30 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd558…8b1bbacked No58c271.26$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.662751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes54c269$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.1582537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x881e…70f8backed Yes63c265$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.052268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick64cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59c6…8332backed No58c258.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.