Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a2b2aeccf873af12a6171722d70d86e458492424a7adb700b011ca3b7cc28e7

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $161,184
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $171,110

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,184 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcf37…3a72backed No	1c	35,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Yes	66c	12,998$8,598 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,400.06	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked No	33c	10,000$3,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,300	133	31.6%42 W · 91 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Yes	70c	9,690$6,776 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,914.02	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb1c…f754backed No	37c	7,578$2,790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,789.67	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes	68c	6,059$4,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,938.98	133	30.1%40 W · 93 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed No	33c	6,008$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed Yes	65c	5,400$3,510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,889.98	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed No	35c	5,100$1,785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,784.98	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+4.6wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Yes	65c	4,400$2,860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,539.97	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Yes	69c	3,786$2,601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,184.18	65	70.8%46 W · 19 L	+9.0wins	+0.14per pick	57cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No	33c	3,554$1,173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,172.71	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No	32c	3,000$968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$968.09	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x697b…d152backed No	35c	2,884$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	68c	2,757$1,880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$876.51	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	25c	2,284$566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$566.2	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes	68c	1,705$1,158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$546.42	241	44.8%108 W · 133 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…afe2backed Yes	63c	1,580$995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$585.39	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+36.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafd2…7260backed No	34c	1,502$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.65	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xceb8…f901backed No	35c	1,500$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.22per pick	35cpaid	-79.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	65c	1,500$975 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$524.99	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes	66c	1,416$938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$477.66	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed Yes	68c	1,400$947 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$453.34	184	60.9%112 W · 72 L	+13.9wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d2f…4adbbacked No	44c	1,328$589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589.39	50	62%31 W · 19 L	+6.4wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed No	31c	1,129$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.67	311	52.7%164 W · 147 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes	66c	1,044$692 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352.26	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf83…35aebacked No	31c	1,036$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.57	39	59%23 W · 16 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	69c	1,000$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	66c	994.44$661 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.22	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes	65c	994.32$644 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350.41	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd25a…c956backed No	32c	968$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.76	59	11.9%7 W · 52 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-77.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c74…c5e3backed No	25c	954.22$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.92	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed No	36c	939.09$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.04	46	50%23 W · 23 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1315…7c77backed No	33c	899.98$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.49	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf40…527abacked Yes	68c	811.54$553 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.64	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbace…3429backed Yes	67c	806.54$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.16	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Yes	65c	782.51$507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275.31	285	47.7%136 W · 149 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd849…93c5backed Yes	70c	766.71$536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.27	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+1.9wins	+0.14per pick	58cpaid	+48.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes	65c	759$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.65	406	49.8%202 W · 204 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No	34c	707.87$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	30c	699.49$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.52	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe574…22f9backed Yes	66c	698$461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.32	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a91…0776backed Yes	68c	690.58$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.99	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-17%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked No	31c	664.23$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.36	165	40.6%67 W · 98 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd458…b521backed Yes	67c	649.97$435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.99	73	42.5%31 W · 42 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+75.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	70c	611.78$427 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.57	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16f1…e1d1backed Yes	65c	600$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	138	46.4%64 W · 74 L	-10.7wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa927…4847backed No	33c	599.7$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.26per pick	24cpaid	+115.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	54c	592.95$322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.95	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked No	34c	575$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.88	450	38.2%172 W · 278 L	-28.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed No	35c	571.43$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	78	15.4%12 W · 66 L	-7.7wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	8c	549$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.92	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Yes	64c	500$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180	279	39.8%111 W · 168 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4205…128ebacked Yes	66c	499.99$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170	41	22%9 W · 32 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No	32c	499.17$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.49	179	45.3%81 W · 98 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	70c	478.32$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.88	212	39.6%84 W · 128 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No	13c	458.37$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.59	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2567…fc9dbacked Yes	66c	454.55$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.55	123	49.6%61 W · 62 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb7e…28ddbacked Yes	66c	430.07$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.56	89	36%32 W · 57 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b25…ff39backed No	31c	413.26$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.11	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Yes	66c	404.97$267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.69	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea1…c38ebacked Yes	67c	394.99$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.35	94	35.1%33 W · 61 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked No	35c	390.32$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.61	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e7c…596cbacked No	32c	379.4$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.67	209	32.5%68 W · 141 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf353…692abacked Yes	66c	378.79$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.79	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f92…ecc7backed No	31c	377.48$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.02	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-3.8wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-48%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x03e1…e180backed No	31c	360.95$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.85	69	40.6%28 W · 41 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Yes	69c	360.03$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.32	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Yes	70c	342.86$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.86	142	38.7%55 W · 87 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6452…616dbacked Yes	68c	326.47$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.47	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	+5.6wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf99e…1b8dbacked Yes	65c	307.69$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.69	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Yes	66c	304.55$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.55	165	52.1%86 W · 79 L	+6.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4478…7f8abacked Yes	68c	300$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-3.6wins	-0.10per pick	57cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9690…f2d5backed No	35c	300$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-3.6wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-59.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed Yes	67c	300$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99	82	40.2%33 W · 49 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1622…d2aebacked Yes	69c	300$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed No	34c	295$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.3	43	14%6 W · 37 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-71.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes	66c	286.87$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.54	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8d…f822backed No	32c	284$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.88	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-4.5wins	-0.17per pick	31cpaid	-76.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Yes	65c	278.74$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.61	188	39.9%75 W · 113 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes	65c	278.25$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.78	345	54.2%187 W · 158 L	+17.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6058…5e02backed Yes	70c	270.15$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.05	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe306…d100backed No	32c	268.61$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.95	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.27per pick	38cpaid	-84.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x63b4…7e30backed No	31c	263.28$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.62	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	32c	261.6$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.71	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaee8…1154backed No	43c	260.01$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.64	134	37.3%50 W · 84 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…c4a9backed No	31c	252.61$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.56	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No	11c	236.38$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.06	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bcc…f8b2backed No	45c	220.13$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.15per pick	65cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Yes	66c	211$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.74	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4388…5050backed No	31c	204.22$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.31	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed No	26c	200.95$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.99	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	32c	200$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e3e…ea35backed No	31c	200$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07b9…0fbbbacked Yes	62c	200$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	+5.3wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa935…e865backed Yes	68c	200$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes	63c	200$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74	176	32.4%57 W · 119 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2956…d31bbacked Yes	66c	200$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68	71	42.3%30 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd12…4fb7backed No	33c	194.16$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.6	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	+10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe67c…33f2backed Yes	65c	190.77$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.77	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event