TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$785,660
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$795,273

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $785,660 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x576f…ed2cbacked No0c276,395$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.99220%0 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed No55c22,622$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,5005451.9%28 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No33c20,887$6,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,966.834,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc8c…273fbacked No1c16,392$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.223010%3 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-77.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x381b…4d74backed Yes49c15,376$7,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,855.338440.5%34 W · 50 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Yes49c14,495$7,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,392.6753448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes58c13,562$7,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,685.0419929.1%58 W · 141 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-37.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes47c13,336$6,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,011.4213330.1%40 W · 93 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x227c…9133backed No32c12,810$4,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,073.633154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae57…ddf0backed No0c7,938$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-51.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes42c5,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9002,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e7…b0f7backed Yes70c3,923$2,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.75825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-36.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddd4…72a0backed No3c3,784$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc0…ac69backed No0c3,167$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113844.7%17 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed No49c2,556$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.4486452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3089…92f6backed Yes74c2,236$1,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.8217828.1%50 W · 128 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes77c2,027$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.0816540.6%67 W · 98 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes45c2,000$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.991,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No43c1,999$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.5426940.9%110 W · 159 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed No1c1,886$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.042021.5%3 W · 199 L-0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid-52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9874…2e27backed No52c1,739$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.267132.4%23 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes69c1,687$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.57580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb7e…28ddbacked Yes56c1,499$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.878936%32 W · 57 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb1c…f754backed No54c1,469$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.26248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-51.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes74c1,455$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.2713748.2%66 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes50c1,374$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.0243145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked No53c1,279$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.2610833.3%36 W · 72 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes55c1,195$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.098844.3%39 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fbd…bbf7backed No26c1,135$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002544%11 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-29.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x562b…dc09backed Yes50c1,091$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.57950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e7c…596cbacked No31c1,046$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.520932.5%68 W · 141 L-1.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes70c1,008$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.455044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7609…6c4ebacked Yes48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5205646.4%26 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ba…fa03backed No53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002931%9 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No6c891.24$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7979231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafd2…7260backed No52c846$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.922917.2%5 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-49.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed No3c842.8$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9842336.9%156 W · 267 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No23c808.38$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.5947235%165 W · 307 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No9c800$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes50c785$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.540649.8%202 W · 204 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf19…6402backed No47c777.72$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.097445.9%34 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No2c755.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.697799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No33c754.61$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.6835033.7%118 W · 232 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No25c700.53$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.5280225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c2…198cbacked No28c700$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196567.1%4 W · 52 L-6.1wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-74.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16f1…e1d1backed Yes72c700$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19613846.4%64 W · 74 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked No52c665.75$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34513729.9%41 W · 96 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Yes47c652.64$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.5339951.6%206 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4422…5362backed No27c638.21$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.743737.8%14 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Yes51c610.39$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.185026%13 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked No53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31813046.9%61 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff4e…63e0backed No50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No41c586.2$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.6887837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x816c…ac2cbacked No53c567.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002035%7 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x225f…5978backed Yes50c551.02$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.024544.4%20 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5555…823bbacked Yes72c544.95$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.595064%32 W · 18 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+45.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed No13c537.45$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8425638.7%99 W · 157 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Yes50c510.53$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.6128547.7%136 W · 149 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Yes43c504.81$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.518839.9%75 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes52c499.99$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24034151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed No22c492.63$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5121937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked No25c484$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4416333.7%55 W · 108 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Yes69c481.91$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.3911637.1%43 W · 73 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0676…9db8backed No53c479$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.871323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-60.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No24c478.24$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4332629.1%95 W · 231 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x769c…5c05backed Yes54c473.13$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.641330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed No46c465.16$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.971850%9 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+44.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe306…d100backed No50c459.63$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.82911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick38cpaid-84.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes78c458.32$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10321239.6%84 W · 128 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x975b…149bbacked Yes74c436.49$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.492965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4512…c4a9backed No23c423.32$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.593622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes59c419.11$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.6323644.9%106 W · 130 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1c9…748cbacked Yes73c413.7$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.75658.9%33 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c79…50c4backed Yes74c408.11$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.113112.9%4 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-73%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1622…d2aebacked No30c403.49$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5916841.1%69 W · 99 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b6…3158backed No25c400.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.255646.4%26 W · 30 L+8.0wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+60.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed No52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20815646.2%72 W · 84 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea0…ae77backed No33c394.96$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.88120%0 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78c8…f251backed No51c383.73$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cc0…48a9backed No25c383.23$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.812437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x690f…75d2backed Yes71c352.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.111346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2db…ffcbbacked Yes70c344.71$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.416142.6%26 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed No53c320.41$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.8295739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed No54c318$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.7230344.2%134 W · 169 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x810d…0d24backed No46c311$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.061637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed No46c305.47$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.7825160.6%152 W · 99 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e7d…ca41backed No25c299.59$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.327339.7%29 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes63c285.75$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.911,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed No54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507815.4%12 W · 66 L-7.7wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-42.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x63fc…f9a5backed No31c277.1$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-53.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd399…3f46backed No49c276.37$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.349723.7%23 W · 74 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb9d…d78ebacked No22c272.3$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9112842.2%54 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x219a…a647backed Yes75c266.01$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0113372.9%97 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbde4…ab8bbacked No51c246.31$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbcd…b8d2backed No26c230.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No55c230.48$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.8475335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No19c230.08$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.482,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f1b…aa6cbacked No52c204.05$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1064942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes69c202$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6219445.4%88 W · 106 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4478…7f8abacked Yes72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563647.2%17 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.