Fifa International · resolved market
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d93d3f277602a22f90c8ddcfd775945542d6b4a99449db03489de13609f3290
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $785,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $795,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $785,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x576f…ed2cbacked No | 0c | 276,395$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.99 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed No | 55c | 22,622$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 33c | 20,887$6,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,966.83 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked No | 1c | 16,392$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.22 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x381b…4d74backed Yes | 49c | 15,376$7,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,855.33 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 49c | 14,495$7,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,392.67 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 58c | 13,562$7,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,685.04 | 199 | 29.1%58 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes | 47c | 13,336$6,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,011.42 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…9133backed No | 32c | 12,810$4,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,073.63 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae57…ddf0backed No | 0c | 7,938$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e7…b0f7backed Yes | 70c | 3,923$2,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd4…72a0backed No | 3c | 3,784$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc0…ac69backed No | 0c | 3,167$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 49c | 2,556$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.44 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed Yes | 74c | 2,236$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.82 | 178 | 28.1%50 W · 128 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes | 77c | 2,027$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.08 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 45c | 2,000$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.99 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 43c | 1,999$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.54 | 269 | 40.9%110 W · 159 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 1,886$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 202 | 1.5%3 W · 199 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…2e27backed No | 52c | 1,739$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.26 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 69c | 1,687$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7e…28ddbacked Yes | 56c | 1,499$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.87 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1c…f754backed No | 54c | 1,469$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.26 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 74c | 1,455$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.27 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 50c | 1,374$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.02 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked No | 53c | 1,279$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.26 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes | 55c | 1,195$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.09 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbd…bbf7backed No | 26c | 1,135$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed Yes | 50c | 1,091$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.5 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7c…596cbacked No | 31c | 1,046$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.5 | 209 | 32.5%68 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 70c | 1,008$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.4 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…6c4ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ba…fa03backed No | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 6c | 891.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd2…7260backed No | 52c | 846$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.92 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed No | 3c | 842.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 23c | 808.38$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.59 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 9c | 800$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 50c | 785$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.5 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…6402backed No | 47c | 777.72$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.09 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 755.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 33c | 754.61$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.68 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 25c | 700.53$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.52 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c2…198cbacked No | 28c | 700$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…e1d1backed Yes | 72c | 700$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked No | 52c | 665.75$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 137 | 29.9%41 W · 96 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Yes | 47c | 652.64$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.53 | 399 | 51.6%206 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…5362backed No | 27c | 638.21$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.74 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Yes | 51c | 610.39$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.18 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked No | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…63e0backed No | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 41c | 586.2$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.68 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x816c…ac2cbacked No | 53c | 567.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225f…5978backed Yes | 50c | 551.02$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.02 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…823bbacked Yes | 72c | 544.95$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.59 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 13c | 537.45$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.84 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Yes | 50c | 510.53$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.61 | 285 | 47.7%136 W · 149 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…b171backed Yes | 43c | 504.81$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.5 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…05c0backed No | 22c | 492.63$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.51 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 25c | 484$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.44 | 163 | 33.7%55 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Yes | 69c | 481.91$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.39 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…9db8backed No | 53c | 479$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.87 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 24c | 478.24$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.43 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…5c05backed Yes | 54c | 473.13$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.64 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed No | 46c | 465.16$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.97 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…d100backed No | 50c | 459.63$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.82 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 78c | 458.32$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 212 | 39.6%84 W · 128 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked Yes | 74c | 436.49$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.49 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…c4a9backed No | 23c | 423.32$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.59 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 59c | 419.11$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.63 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c9…748cbacked Yes | 73c | 413.7$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.7 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c79…50c4backed Yes | 74c | 408.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.11 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -73%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1622…d2aebacked No | 30c | 403.49$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.59 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…3158backed No | 25c | 400.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…ae77backed No | 33c | 394.96$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.88 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78c8…f251backed No | 51c | 383.73$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…48a9backed No | 25c | 383.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.81 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x690f…75d2backed Yes | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2db…ffcbbacked Yes | 70c | 344.71$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.41 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 53c | 320.41$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.82 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed No | 54c | 318$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.72 | 303 | 44.2%134 W · 169 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…0d24backed No | 46c | 311$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.06 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed No | 46c | 305.47$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.78 | 251 | 60.6%152 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed No | 25c | 299.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.32 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 63c | 285.75$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.91 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed No | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 78 | 15.4%12 W · 66 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63fc…f9a5backed No | 31c | 277.1$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…3f46backed No | 49c | 276.37$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.34 | 97 | 23.7%23 W · 74 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…d78ebacked No | 22c | 272.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.91 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed Yes | 75c | 266.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.01 | 133 | 72.9%97 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde4…ab8bbacked No | 51c | 246.31$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcd…b8d2backed No | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 55c | 230.48$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.84 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 19c | 230.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1b…aa6cbacked No | 52c | 204.05$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 69c | 202$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…7f8abacked Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.