Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a6c34249d718a5bff78608e20b5cddefe722b73d5515524779747afb9c2a068

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $186,245
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $204,641

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,245 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0343…f2dcbacked No	77c	20,833$16,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,752.78	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Yes	22c	20,188$4,353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,353.42	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4da7…7abdbacked Yes	25c	14,478$3,559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,558.97	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x410c…7d2fbacked No	80c	11,260$9,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,252	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Yes	22c	10,000$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	133	31.6%42 W · 91 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf438…9559backed No	78c	10,000$7,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,200	144	49.3%71 W · 73 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked No	76c	9,989$7,590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,398.86	108	33.3%36 W · 72 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	76c	9,813$7,455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,357.29	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Yes	22c	8,149$1,793 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,792.78	221	39.8%88 W · 133 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes	21c	6,135$1,310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,310.09	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Yes	19c	5,030$943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$943.26	65	70.8%46 W · 19 L	+9.0wins	+0.14per pick	57cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed Yes	20c	4,915$989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$989.1	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfc4…4089backed No	79c	3,000$2,359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$641.01	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed No	78c	2,565$1,993 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$571.5	54	50%27 W · 27 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	79c	2,096$1,665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430.8	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a7c…3016backed Yes	24c	2,059$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	130	11.5%15 W · 115 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes	23c	2,013$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.96	133	30.1%40 W · 93 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed No	79c	2,001$1,588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$412.38	54	66.7%36 W · 18 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x641b…b94abacked Yes	26c	1,738$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.76	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x731b…90dfbacked No	73c	1,675$1,231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$443.97	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No	80c	1,670$1,331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.79	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	23c	1,660$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.2	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Yes	27c	1,660$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.2	135	50.4%68 W · 67 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes	29c	1,616$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.8	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb854…a75dbacked No	78c	1,615$1,256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$358.98	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed No	76c	1,500$1,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	-5.4wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0eee…5b68backed No	78c	1,400$1,092 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf0ee…7d14backed No	77c	1,304$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.81	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-55%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76b…c054backed Yes	20c	1,230$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	24c	1,145$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.26	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x557e…3c74backed No	78c	1,050$819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd24b…187dbacked No	70c	1,000$695 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305	96	37.5%36 W · 60 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Yes	21c	973.61$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.95	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes	26c	926.01$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	137	29.9%41 W · 96 L	-12.9wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7d1…c0f2backed No	80c	900$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+2.3wins	+0.15per pick	65cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	3c	799.98$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87ec…1ee8backed Yes	26c	775.92$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	48	27.1%13 W · 35 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-33%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes	21c	774.13$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.05	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	10c	758.7$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.59	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5256…0494backed Yes	21c	741.29$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.84	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e7c…596cbacked No	77c	685$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.64	209	32.5%68 W · 141 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed No	73c	681.15$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.15	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No	73c	670.88$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.14	209	55.5%116 W · 93 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4c6…4d97backed Yes	18c	648.74$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94e…f946backed No	79c	633.62$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.62	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf8…7f09backed No	79c	632.91$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.91	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	7c	610.84$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.77	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3650…d17cbacked No	79c	588.46$465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.58	61	41%25 W · 36 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes	22c	584.97$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.94	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb7e…28ddbacked Yes	23c	561$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.32	89	36%32 W · 57 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x054d…27bfbacked Yes	26c	552$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.52	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes	24c	548.61$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.55	163	33.7%55 W · 108 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4402…d22abacked Yes	18c	539.99$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.2	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+48.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed Yes	18c	532$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.76	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af2…5212backed No	76c	525.72$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.72	174	47.7%83 W · 91 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes	19c	521.94$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.62	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16f1…e1d1backed No	79c	499.99$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	138	46.4%64 W · 74 L	-10.7wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	14c	438.32$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.51	212	39.6%84 W · 128 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No	74c	434$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.36	345	54.2%187 W · 158 L	+17.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed No	74c	427.04$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.03	188	39.9%75 W · 113 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a4f…04bbbacked Yes	12c	423.63$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	31	9.7%3 W · 28 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	+45.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	17c	414.74$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.85	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked No	72c	403.38$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.95	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x263c…87a0backed No	78c	400$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.4wins	-0.34per pick	62cpaid	-61.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x305e…e8d9backed No	75c	400$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Yes	27c	394.25$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.45	285	47.7%136 W · 149 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1c4…f3e2backed Yes	25c	391$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.75	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-64.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed No	77c	383.87$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.94	166	46.4%77 W · 89 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes	26c	355.53$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.83	249	54.2%135 W · 114 L	+40.3wins	+0.16per pick	38cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No	73c	349$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.4	206	52.9%109 W · 97 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd83a…2dafbacked Yes	27c	346.19$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.47	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8d…f822backed Yes	27c	336$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.72	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-4.5wins	-0.17per pick	31cpaid	-76.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes	9c	326$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.62	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca7…9567backed Yes	22c	318.18$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	78	44.9%35 W · 43 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6c7…c0e2backed Yes	14c	315.07$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.18	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0afd…b9c9backed No	80c	312.5$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.5	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.20per pick	67cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4478…7f8abacked Yes	12c	300$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-3.6wins	-0.10per pick	57cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf96c…9014backed Yes	24c	300$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9163…82aebacked Yes	23c	299.99$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed No	77c	295$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.85	115	45.2%52 W · 63 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc89d…859abacked No	77c	290$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.7	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	40cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6a8…0f9cbacked No	76c	289.01$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.01	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	11c	282.75$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.45	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x34db…2e01backed No	76c	278.18$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.11	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+2.0wins	+0.12per pick	44cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No	78c	275$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.33	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Yes	21c	261.9$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	78	15.4%12 W · 66 L	-7.7wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	21c	256.34$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.63	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1d8…eb94backed Yes	21c	238.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-38%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d77…fdbebacked No	75c	220.8$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.16	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	-5.2wins	-0.13per pick	25cpaid	-82.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x70c7…92a4backed Yes	23c	220$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.6	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1622…d2aebacked No	74c	213.02$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.69	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffef…dabfbacked Yes	28c	207$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.96	117	52.1%61 W · 56 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed No	78c	200$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed Yes	24c	200$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	116	36.2%42 W · 74 L	-7.6wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x810d…0d24backed Yes	24c	200$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaefd…ae0abacked Yes	20c	200$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c0…466bbacked No	75c	200$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.43	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed No	75c	200$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	240	43.3%104 W · 136 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6de6…d900backed No	73c	200$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x540f…92bebacked Yes	27c	190$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.3	88	55.7%49 W · 39 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event