TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x34db…2e01

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Commodities, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-40.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.48
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+467.6%+$212.91
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$209
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.85
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Casemiro attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will the announcers say "Tom Cruise" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$156
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+186.5%+$130.2
Will Like a Prayer be the first song performed by Madonna at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$122
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will Morocco go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$43.09
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$67.11
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 16 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$70.55
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$71.36
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.6
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$172
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$31.06
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$116
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.65
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$42.7
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.55
Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will LaShonda "L.J." Holloway be the FL-04 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Scott Singer be the FL-25 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.5
Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+203%+$33.5
Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+95%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$27.4
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-34%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cagliari: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Jiujiang: Adam Walton vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 5:00-6:59?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$19.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.