Us Midterms · resolved market

Will Scott Singer be the FL-25 Republican nominee?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ae519a9f7a518f9c19bdcd6f077c2fbe8c32e03b39642343f27d77ba649414e

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Aug 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $61,217
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $60,596

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,217 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9648…6825backed No	16c	12,333$2,028 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,028.25	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	+215.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ca…1705backed No	19c	10,822$2,102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,102.45	80	42.5%34 W · 46 L	+6.6wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	+40.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed No	19c	7,272$1,382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,381.63	151	50.3%76 W · 75 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	20c	1,879$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.23	343	33.5%115 W · 228 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-30%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes	47c	1,412$669 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$743.51	165	44.2%73 W · 92 L	+10.8wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed Yes	79c	1,200$948 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	-6.1wins	-0.14per pick	45cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x435d…d10fbacked Yes	39c	1,149$445 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$704.28	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5d…1614backed No	18c	1,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	18c	957.07$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.78	147	29.9%44 W · 103 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No	48c	829$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.46	210	33.3%70 W · 140 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes	57c	809.62$459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350.88	228	33.8%77 W · 151 L	+13.7wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	80c	800$636 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164	315	34%107 W · 208 L	-11.6wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd12f…e85abacked Yes	37c	689.43$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$434.23	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No	36c	570.15$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.62	96	47.9%46 W · 50 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	18c	490.42$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.96	248	31%77 W · 171 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	18c	474.28$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.72	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No	19c	409$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.71	154	31.2%48 W · 106 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	10c	320$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	90	35.6%32 W · 58 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes	51c	318$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.77	67	50.7%34 W · 33 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No	27c	289.39$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.32	93	43%40 W · 53 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd24b…ef76backed Yes	79c	276$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.96	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed Yes	72c	245$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.9	73	26%19 W · 54 L	-10.6wins	-0.14per pick	40cpaid	-39%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	20c	238.1$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.48	171	40.4%69 W · 102 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No	26c	227.56$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.74	120	49.2%59 W · 61 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No	45c	227$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.68	334	21.9%73 W · 261 L	-23.8wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-35%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked No	18c	222$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.96	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-64.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	23c	210.49$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.09	107	22.4%24 W · 83 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3080…337bbacked No	18c	200$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	50	30%15 W · 35 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07b9…0fbbbacked Yes	79c	200$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b8a…f6a4backed No	55c	200$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No	19c	200$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	93	26.9%25 W · 68 L	-8.2wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe1aa…964bbacked No	28c	199.99$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca75…0a64backed No	40c	180.58$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.23	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	49c	163.98$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.21	332	38.6%128 W · 204 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-30%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	64c	153.25$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.97	136	47.1%64 W · 72 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0d…fa97backed No	43c	153.05$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.81	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes	60c	150.7$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.41	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes	76c	150.2$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.31	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No	16c	144.15$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.06	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x738a…5996backed No	30c	133.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+2.4wins	+0.15per pick	41cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe5b…babfbacked Yes	79c	126.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.58	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+30%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x268f…bbd7backed Yes	80c	125$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked No	19c	120$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.8	196	31.1%61 W · 135 L	-7.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x571c…b9f9backed No	44c	120$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.2	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked No	59c	104$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.72	68	26.5%18 W · 50 L	-6.7wins	-0.10per pick	36cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca1f…d282backed No	19c	101$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.19	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes	36c	100$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f71…719abacked No	43c	100$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x270b…e632backed No	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No	22c	99.63$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.05	74	51.4%38 W · 36 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb924…0803backed Yes	79c	90$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.9	48	33.3%16 W · 32 L	-7.4wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No	47c	87.33$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.05	123	30.9%38 W · 85 L	-10.0wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe040…824fbacked No	49c	85$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.65	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	50c	83.7$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.52	450	35.1%158 W · 292 L	-37.8wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xab57…e05fbacked Yes	49c	83.66$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.79	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c4f…e321backed Yes	80c	82.98$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.6	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+2.5wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b25…7a69backed Yes	79c	82.54$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.4	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+68.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b9…a8cdbacked No	64c	80$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No	63c	76$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.88	85	41.2%35 W · 50 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd23f…94a1backed No	44c	73.75$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.08	48	50%24 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56d3…e307backed Yes	42c	70.67$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.17	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a20…89d2backed No	57c	70$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.9	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb58…ccd0backed No	57c	70$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.9	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe2d…da35backed No	15c	69.75$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.74	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815a…af37backed No	48c	68.23$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.75	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x897a…4194backed No	51c	60.29$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.94	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	+5.9wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x018a…9522backed Yes	44c	60.11$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.36	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	38c	60$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.8	182	37.4%68 W · 114 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03bc…530cbacked No	28c	60$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	17cpaid	+253.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2df6…fbe2backed Yes	44c	60$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.6	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed Yes	44c	60$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.75	56	42.9%24 W · 32 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb06c…b574backed Yes	72c	60$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.8	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…bf6cbacked Yes	79c	54.32$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.41	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca1f…5506backed No	62c	51.36$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.83	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed No	21c	51$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.71	98	19.4%19 W · 79 L	-10.3wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed No	62c	51$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.62	66	36.4%24 W · 42 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a51…bf4cbacked Yes	60c	51$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.4	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5529…e5b9backed No	54c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	229	48.9%112 W · 117 L	+7.7wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9097…fa4abacked Yes	80c	50$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e3e…ea35backed Yes	38c	50$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x34db…2e01backed Yes	38c	50$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed No	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.14per pick	32cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebdb…5ac4backed Yes	38c	50$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.62per pick	38cpaid	+163.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x090a…0fa6backed No	22c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa86f…022cbacked Yes	79c	50$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.5	56	37.5%21 W · 35 L	-4.9wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-36%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d02…2ad3backed No	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5c…767bbacked No	55c	50$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Yes	45c	47.93$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.36	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+3.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed No	24c	44.26$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.24per pick	41cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x92a4…7c91backed No	64c	43.98$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.34	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf057…ab54backed No	55c	42$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.96	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	-5.1wins	-0.14per pick	46cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xba0f…1011backed No	41c	40$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21a6…c753backed Yes	70c	40$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eec…e587backed Yes	58c	39.55$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.61	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+3.7wins	+0.16per pick	45cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes	53c	36.65$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.35	669	14.8%99 W · 570 L	-105.6wins	-0.16per pick	31cpaid	-66%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xc24f…220bbacked Yes	62c	36.63$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.1	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e9…b434backed Yes	79c	35.89$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.54	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	37c	32$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.84	495	11.5%57 W · 438 L	-17.6wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67a8…7493backed Yes	54c	31.9$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.77	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Scott Singer be the FL-25 Republican nominee?this page
Will Dan Franzese be the FL-25 Republican nominee?No won
Will George Moraitis be the FL-25 Republican nominee?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Scott Singer be the FL-25 Republican nominee?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event