Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe6526cea1f4310d1d673a1c288e1b19e4c8a84224c4b839f92e3f1b8a02b4af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 77c | 9,813$7,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.61 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 24c | 9,191$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.64 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 13c | 5,417$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.21 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 31c | 5,377$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.29 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 4c | 3,650$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.6 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 78c | 2,555$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.09 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 9c | 2,417$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f0…c480backed Yes | 10c | 2,111$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…f6b7backed Yes | 22c | 2,066$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.52 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…d6ddbacked Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed Yes | 23c | 2,000$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.7 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,912$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.2 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked Yes | 20c | 1,893$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.6 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed No | 67c | 1,821$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.85 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9063…f42fbacked No | 65c | 1,596$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed No | 71c | 1,490$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.35 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…9767backed Yes | 21c | 1,220$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.19 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…cdaabacked Yes | 24c | 1,000$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…dbbfbacked Yes | 22c | 1,000$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Yes | 33c | 993.28$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.91 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…e4e0backed No | 78c | 970.82$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 11c | 940.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 26c | 804.67$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.19 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…dcdebacked Yes | 11c | 800$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…648cbacked Yes | 9c | 788.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.85 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +10.8wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…c234backed Yes | 2c | 749.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed Yes | 5c | 703.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 27c | 677.38$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.27 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…3b70backed No | 69c | 676$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 21c | 651.47$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.7 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 79c | 645$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.45 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…4847backed Yes | 33c | 608.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 74c | 608$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.88 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…e45abacked Yes | 23c | 601.08$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed No | 78c | 600$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 22c | 600$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…ac9bbacked Yes | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 31c | 582.99$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.65 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 545$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 494 | 11.5%57 W · 437 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 9c | 500$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked No | 68c | 499.98$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.99 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Yes | 11c | 463.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 9c | 449.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 14cpaid | +183.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfad0…3a91backed Yes | 21c | 446$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…a1d3backed Yes | 25c | 428.32$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2282…73e8backed No | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 73c | 380$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9182…3368backed Yes | 25c | 376.49$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc205…eec2backed No | 71c | 350$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 21c | 350$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 71c | 331.36$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c8…2e5abacked Yes | 29c | 318.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 70c | 268$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked No | 72c | 255$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…9a00backed Yes | 40c | 248.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 70c | 247.53$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.26 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 41cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 71c | 226.06$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 160 | 20.6%33 W · 127 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked Yes | 31c | 221.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0777…4b7fbacked Yes | 11c | 218.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c74…c5e3backed Yes | 34c | 217.65$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd423…99e9backed No | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e50…b28abacked Yes | 36c | 210.6$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 9c | 201.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 182 | 3.8%7 W · 175 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x840e…b9edbacked Yes | 23c | 201.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…36cabacked No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…0fe6backed No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34db…2e01backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…5dd2backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa935…e865backed No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…3651backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 42cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6464…99adbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1b…8306backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578e…c940backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa821…0bc8backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…8460backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd6…86f1backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f61…0deabacked Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e7…8c77backed Yes | 22c | 194.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…6569backed No | 79c | 163.37$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686d…1a68backed Yes | 13c | 163.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfd…fb46backed Yes | 26c | 137.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 64c | 137.06$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd6…10d4backed No | 78c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 78c | 123.45$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4c…d6a2backed Yes | 22c | 123.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 22c | 119.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 449 | 35.2%158 W · 291 L | -37.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Yes | 33c | 109.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…ed31backed Yes | 11c | 105$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +168.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ba…5b5ebacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes | 15c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked No | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb477…673ebacked No | 70c | 96.43$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec4d…be21backed Yes | 19c | 87.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -66%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7e…106bbacked Yes | 35c | 84.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed No | 71c | 84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed No | 68c | 75.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?this page
- Will Chellie Pingree be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No won
- Will Dan Kleban be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No won
- Will Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No won
- Will Janet Mills be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No won
- Will Jared Golden be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No won
- Will Jordan Wood be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No won
- Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No won
- Will Saundra Pelletier be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No won
- Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Yes won
- Will Valli Geiger be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.