TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0777…4b7f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
168
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT4320.9%9 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.48
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.08
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.45
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$264.56
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.04
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.08
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.22
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.98
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.08
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.86
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.42
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.56
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.63
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.03
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.22
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$239.65
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.49
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+516.3%+$134.22
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$131.59
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.68
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$120.42
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.02
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+300%+$83.54
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT210%0 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.48
Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.54
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.08
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.77
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.43
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.44
Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.1
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldobacked Ronaldo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.49
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.06
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.87
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.85
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.15
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.94
Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.42
Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.01
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.62
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.4
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.86
All 21 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1910.5%2 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-48.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.27
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.38
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.54
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$98.61
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.65
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.53
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.32
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.56
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.7
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.43
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.34
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.14
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+400%+$78.28
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.34
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.48
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.98
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.01
All 19 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-44.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.68
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.69
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.02
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+372%+$78.87
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.91
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.26
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.24
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.84
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.42
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+371.9%+$43.86
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.62
All 17 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick14cpaid+133.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.33
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.52
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.73
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.87
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.38
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.88
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+900%+$176.43
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+1,167.3%+$514.43
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$204.93
Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.77
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.9
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.86
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.32
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.75
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.14
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+309.7%+$103.37
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.01
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+300%+$69.81
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.62
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.2
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.62
All 8 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick16cpaid+298.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+525%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$82.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.