Fifa International · resolved market
Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa84f9584e7a809ed1bf23b154ed3a161fe67b5c78587db52e61858a1a662360a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 9c | 31,885$2,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.82 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 6c | 3,621$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.26 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…1862backed No | 9c | 2,797$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.42 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf024…fbd3backed No | 8c | 2,070$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.62 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed No | 10c | 1,764$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.31 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 4c | 1,507$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…6604backed No | 6c | 1,326$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.63 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 12c | 858.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.77 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 7c | 844$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.08 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 20c | 837.91$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.03 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92c1…adc5backed No | 8c | 770$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 42c | 747.97$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.11 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed No | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 75c | 708.41$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.63 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb00…7fe9backed No | 7c | 699.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 8c | 605$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 167 | 4.2%7 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 37c | 560.38$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.34 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 70c | 546.71$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.25 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda13…3fccbacked No | 9c | 536.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed No | 7c | 522$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 9c | 514.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 7c | 500$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 176 | 32.4%57 W · 119 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed No | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed No | 5c | 490$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 272 | 27.6%75 W · 197 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 6c | 488$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 8c | 459$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 68c | 436.93$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cf…dd36backed No | 35c | 425.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdc…a595backed Yes | 25c | 394.82$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.12 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 8c | 361.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 126 | 6.3%8 W · 118 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 51c | 356.7$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.65 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 60c | 349.65$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.39 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 7c | 339.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 12c | 333.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed No | 6c | 329.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed No | 7c | 324.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 22c | 316.8$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.26 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f76…aae2backed No | 7c | 314.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 24c | 308.15$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.19 | 481 | 40.1%193 W · 288 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0777…4b7fbacked No | 9c | 305.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 14c | 300.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e74…794ebacked No | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 42c | 279$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 26c | 270$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.62 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 20c | 269.89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…991dbacked Yes | 37c | 268.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.69 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 9c | 263.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 11c | 261.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e26…3edfbacked No | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x054d…27bfbacked No | 40c | 243.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1395…1ff5backed No | 7c | 227$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84e…e67ebacked No | 7c | 227$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dde…bcdebacked No | 7c | 227$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…a3b8backed No | 7c | 227$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab5d…dafcbacked No | 7c | 227$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbd…3935backed No | 7c | 227$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 8c | 219$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa19b…105dbacked No | 7c | 214$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3e…b5dcbacked No | 7c | 214$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…256dbacked No | 7c | 214$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe50…5933backed No | 7c | 214$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeab…7941backed No | 7c | 214$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd260…a80cbacked No | 7c | 214$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 19c | 211$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 56c | 200$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.4 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1b…7217backed No | 9c | 199.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 7c | 180.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 55c | 162$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.52 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 50c | 159.2$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.04 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 27c | 151.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed No | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 15c | 146.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 78c | 125$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd64…2385backed No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5707…8053backed No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x526a…fa0abacked No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…c785backed No | 8c | 121.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 10c | 119.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 42c | 115$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 58c | 106$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…32babacked Yes | 62c | 102.42$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59fb…eceabacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 31c | 98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked No | 38c | 90$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…1e79backed Yes | 59c | 84.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 48c | 76.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 40c | 72.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 25c | 70.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 47c | 68.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes | 59c | 66.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 43c | 64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked No | 38c | 63.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 41c | 58.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…5cccbacked No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…78b9backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -9.0wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?this page
- Will Cape Verde be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.