Fifa International · resolved market
Will Cape Verde be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3489b4d4b58f743afa2fac761f5e00315189db5b3097a5bb79d28611ccd9689
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 72c | 3,550$2,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.69 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes | 27c | 1,946$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.26 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 33c | 1,785$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.87 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 28c | 1,752$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.57 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 29c | 1,612$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.24 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e78…3945backed Yes | 35c | 1,576$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.23 | 195 | 29.7%58 W · 137 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 70c | 1,405$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.26 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 31c | 1,104$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.3 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…147abacked Yes | 10c | 1,005$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 180 | 43.9%79 W · 101 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7e…28ddbacked Yes | 71c | 931.42$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.41 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 28c | 872.02$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.85 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…b83abacked Yes | 33c | 724.89$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.21 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed Yes | 40c | 510.41$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.78 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 71c | 507.29$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes | 26c | 499.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 31c | 495.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.28 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 72c | 478.51$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf4…cc11backed Yes | 67c | 399.67$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.81 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 67c | 389.85$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.36 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 67c | 359.05$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.08 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 64c | 330$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.39 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 32c | 281.16$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.36 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 29c | 280.22$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.52 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 26c | 270.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db4…07c9backed Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Yes | 55c | 254.9$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.2 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 55c | 253.26$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.83 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…04ddbacked Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 70c | 233.27$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.38 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked No | 69c | 223.65$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.33 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6980…b200backed Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 26c | 193.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46f…87c3backed Yes | 72c | 169.52$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.05 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…9781backed No | 72c | 166.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd020…790bbacked Yes | 58c | 149.72$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 29c | 149.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea7…d0d3backed Yes | 55c | 144.31$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8c…b79abacked Yes | 69c | 141$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 42c | 140.74$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5175…f2f6backed No | 32c | 140.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 63c | 125.84$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed No | 70c | 125.17$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 72c | 125$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 66c | 115.42$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.18 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 71c | 110.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 15c | 110$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 59c | 109$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…dd70backed No | 45c | 108$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 70c | 105$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 40c | 105$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a69…228fbacked Yes | 58c | 101.72$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0855…ae26backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 70c | 97.83$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 54c | 94.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 27c | 89.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 54c | 89.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 73c | 88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 71c | 84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 65c | 76.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 54c | 70.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 55c | 69.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…504fbacked No | 46c | 65.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 57c | 65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 64c | 61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…dc19backed Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 68c | 56.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5d…4a56backed Yes | 56c | 54.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5e…b7e4backed Yes | 51c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 55c | 50.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd040…ee38backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3125…60fabacked Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1335…fac5backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 70c | 49.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked Yes | 55c | 46.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked No | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d9…db94backed No | 46c | 43.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 31c | 43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…ba06backed Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28d9…75a0backed Yes | 57c | 42.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a0…8ccebacked Yes | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 37c | 39.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…56f8backed Yes | 33c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 31c | 37.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 56c | 35.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 41c | 33.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed No | 42c | 30.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b7…d01dbacked Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x154d…4915backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa281…571ebacked No | 71c | 23.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cape Verde be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?this page
- Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Yes won
- Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.