TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Cape Verde be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,673
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,043

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,673 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x28ca…5d19backed No72c3,550$2,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.6912046.7%56 W · 64 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes27c1,946$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.2613330.1%40 W · 93 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes33c1,785$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.872,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes28c1,752$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.5714920.8%31 W · 118 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No29c1,612$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.2419252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Yes35c1,576$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.2319529.7%58 W · 137 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No70c1,405$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.261,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes31c1,104$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.323644.9%106 W · 130 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac25…147abacked Yes10c1,005$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018043.9%79 W · 101 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb7e…28ddbacked Yes71c931.42$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.418936%32 W · 57 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No28c872.02$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.8553448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc5…b83abacked Yes33c724.89$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.213935.9%14 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+39.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed Yes40c510.41$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.7825638.7%99 W · 157 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed No71c507.29$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.518139.8%72 W · 109 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes26c499.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13019345.1%87 W · 106 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed Yes31c495.99$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.288240.2%33 W · 49 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No72c478.51$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13458926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cf4…cc11backed Yes67c399.67$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.812231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-32.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No67c389.85$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3687837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed No67c359.05$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.0842640.1%171 W · 255 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No64c330$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.3920652.9%109 W · 97 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes32c281.16$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3635033.7%118 W · 232 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes29c280.22$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5217217.4%30 W · 142 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No26c270.27$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20015740.8%64 W · 93 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7db4…07c9backed Yes74c270.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed Yes55c254.9$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.212038.3%46 W · 74 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes55c253.26$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8367354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02f7…04ddbacked Yes28c250$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No70c233.27$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.388,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8cc…015bbacked No69c223.65$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.332065%13 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6980…b200backed Yes72c200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaee8…1154backed Yes26c193.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.313437.3%50 W · 84 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa46f…87c3backed Yes72c169.52$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.051457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5219…9781backed No72c166.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.673330.3%10 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-52.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd020…790bbacked Yes58c149.72$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes29c149.69$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4123245.7%106 W · 126 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ea7…d0d3backed Yes55c144.31$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d8c…b79abacked Yes69c141$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.42540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes42c140.74$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.934634.8%16 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+33.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5175…f2f6backed No32c140.63$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No63c125.84$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1315158.3%88 W · 63 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbada…d874backed No70c125.17$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.499455.3%52 W · 42 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No72c125$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3514055.7%78 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed No66c115.42$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1892038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes71c110.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.843835.8%157 W · 281 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes15c110$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.56098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes59c109$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.866239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf301…dd70backed No45c108$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.45855.2%32 W · 26 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc92…27c9backed No70c105$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58440.5%34 W · 50 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No40c105$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5514858.8%87 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a69…228fbacked Yes58c101.72$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595448.1%26 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e7d…ca41backed No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.57339.7%29 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0855…ae26backed No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.53339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No70c97.83$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0165651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No54c94.1$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2314839.2%58 W · 90 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4435…786fbacked Yes27c89.6$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4912847.7%61 W · 67 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes54c89.21$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4223543%101 W · 134 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No73c88$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7619445.4%88 W · 106 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No71c84$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.713060.8%79 W · 51 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes33c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.14346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No65c76.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5537644.9%169 W · 207 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed Yes54c70.06$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8311636.2%42 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed Yes55c69.52$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2422243.7%97 W · 125 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x41a6…504fbacked No46c65.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.641637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No57c65$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.728554.4%155 W · 130 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No64c61$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7417558.9%103 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e91…dc19backed Yes31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes68c56.89$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.689644.8%43 W · 53 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5d…4a56backed Yes56c54.59$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.577149.3%35 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d5e…b7e4backed Yes51c51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.016753.7%36 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9eda…6e19backed Yes55c50.17$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.411241.1%46 W · 66 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd040…ee38backed No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+34.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3125…60fabacked Yes72c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1335…fac5backed Yes71c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0181…9b5fbacked No64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No70c49.65$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.948636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x1237…06afbacked Yes55c46.89$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.868041.3%33 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked No67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7839752.1%207 W · 190 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x48d9…db94backed No46c43.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.191428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No31c43$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6764850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb81e…ba06backed Yes71c42.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x28d9…75a0backed Yes57c42.11$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89a0…8ccebacked Yes72c40$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes37c39.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.521517.2%37 W · 178 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x624b…56f8backed Yes33c39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.755125.5%13 W · 38 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-28.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No31c37.81$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0923750.6%120 W · 117 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes56c35.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5130241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No41c33.89$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9313051.5%67 W · 63 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6406…bc04backed No42c30.24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5310966.1%72 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x55b7…d01dbacked Yes57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.11764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x154d…4915backed Yes56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa281…571ebacked No71c23.94$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.941457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No67c15.15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.