Fifa International · resolved market
Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3bed6ac695a0171f794966846f540e59988f262f27956f7297ff38fdb22ef07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 25c | 23,706$6,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,035.95 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 18c | 15,000$2,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,742.98 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe7…6143backed Yes | 9c | 6,593$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 72c | 5,858$4,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.09 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 66c | 5,456$3,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.48 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 52c | 4,256$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.33 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 58c | 2,559$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.18 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 47c | 2,215$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.89 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 53c | 2,089$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.93 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.98 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 66c | 1,576$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.94 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 52c | 1,249$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.51 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 58c | 1,100$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.08 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1b…7217backed Yes | 10c | 1,098$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,071$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x982a…2853backed Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -55%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadeb…1816backed Yes | 44c | 1,023$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f0…529ebacked Yes | 10c | 999.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5044…f67fbacked Yes | 13c | 999.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…0ae6backed Yes | 10c | 996.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -58%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 23c | 971.21$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.79 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c20…f7bfbacked Yes | 9c | 944.36$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e00…4421backed Yes | 11c | 903.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 47c | 830.81$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.57 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…045abacked Yes | 9c | 710.51$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 41c | 697.71$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.09 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…d4fdbacked Yes | 10c | 607.01$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 10c | 586.17$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 52c | 580.99$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.87 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef58…8ed6backed Yes | 11c | 541.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…9722backed No | 53c | 529$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.91 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2928…4ad7backed Yes | 9c | 528.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes | 10c | 526$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes | 11c | 522$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 39c | 507.08$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.02 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff1…e20bbacked Yes | 10c | 468.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2898…d183backed Yes | 10c | 456$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…2267backed Yes | 11c | 450.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 68c | 440.27$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.21 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba75…de62backed Yes | 9c | 439.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc10b…65dbbacked Yes | 8c | 415.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4014…eab6backed Yes | 48c | 415.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…5e79backed Yes | 12c | 411.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed Yes | 9c | 390.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8168…90e7backed No | 55c | 374.63$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed No | 58c | 370$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.2 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70de…e030backed Yes | 46c | 367.39$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b9…6d3dbacked Yes | 11c | 333.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d3…b12fbacked Yes | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bb…fb5bbacked Yes | 12c | 332.32$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 12c | 324.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3f…32a4backed No | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.55 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c0…a433backed Yes | 35c | 281.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.92 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d57…fdecbacked Yes | 9c | 274.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…e573backed No | 55c | 274.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.27 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 57c | 259.85$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…736ebacked Yes | 45c | 258.8$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.97 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dee…9938backed No | 50c | 254.16$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.89 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18af…f909backed No | 50c | 245.57$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.42 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…4ec7backed No | 50c | 245.18$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.88 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 47c | 244.01$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.04 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 11c | 243.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 32c | 216.4$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.19 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes | 8c | 213.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 71 | 14.1%10 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0777…4b7fbacked Yes | 9c | 200.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1a…947cbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1e…fbb1backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc78e…4718backed Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…fcdbbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 71c | 199.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e7…06ecbacked Yes | 10c | 195.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…b2aabacked Yes | 10c | 195.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 13c | 195$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 49c | 192.61$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.37 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…e99bbacked No | 54c | 191.11$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.11 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xded9…0c22backed Yes | 11c | 189.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…563dbacked Yes | 11c | 180.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…2dcabacked Yes | 11c | 180.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 33c | 178$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 45c | 174.1$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.66 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…b8f1backed No | 58c | 173.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 30cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7828…e558backed Yes | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed Yes | 41c | 168.77$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 16c | 164.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa22d…3f00backed Yes | 46c | 151.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 63c | 151.07$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0f…0ababacked No | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3766…e05abacked No | 67c | 148.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed No | 47c | 139.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…4189backed Yes | 11c | 138.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 67c | 130.63$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7e…28ddbacked Yes | 48c | 130$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.01 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e21…f86bbacked Yes | 31c | 129.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 11c | 122.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 176 | 32.4%57 W · 119 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a6…5657backed Yes | 17c | 119.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed Yes | 34c | 117$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x533b…0a9ebacked Yes | 13c | 115$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 232 | 27.6%64 W · 168 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 41c | 112.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…d3fdbacked No | 50c | 112$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Lionel Messi score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Lionel Messi score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Lionel Messi score 12+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Lionel Messi score 13+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Lionel Messi score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Lionel Messi score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Lionel Messi score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Lionel Messi score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Lionel Messi score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Lionel Messi score 7+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Lionel Messi score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.