Fifa International · resolved market
Will Lionel Messi score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04f4b0742d9d0b0deea72e9b4fd75ed67ea96b94722825c57d3b9a64fdd7303b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 16c | 3,582$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.97 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…5c91backed Yes | 76c | 1,434$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.13 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5e…8819backed No | 26c | 1,203$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked No | 26c | 1,189$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.13 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e3…22d5backed No | 21c | 933.95$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.13 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 24c | 906.87$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.59 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 32c | 767$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.44 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b4…38c7backed Yes | 75c | 761.96$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.96 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 26c | 699.98$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 74c | 673.64$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.15 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…a280backed Yes | 73c | 599.97$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.89 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 73c | 564.59$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.57 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5efb…8392backed Yes | 72c | 486.92$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.92 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +48%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…8f5fbacked Yes | 65c | 458.84$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +210.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…736ebacked Yes | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed No | 17c | 379.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.98 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked No | 30c | 346.08$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.82 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 28c | 322.68$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.02 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cb…a4e6backed No | 24c | 306.67$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d9…c3cbbacked Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 23c | 286.46$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.53 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 21c | 279.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | +7.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed Yes | 69c | 270.14$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.14 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed Yes | 60c | 255.86$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.34 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…e99bbacked No | 23c | 237.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78fc…0c79backed Yes | 65c | 236.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c19…cd48backed Yes | 78c | 234.31$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…a7b8backed No | 27c | 217.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 28c | 208.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.27 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18af…f909backed No | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 6c | 197$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked No | 31c | 194$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed No | 8c | 187.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71d3…4e2abacked Yes | 80c | 164.41$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 53 | 71.7%38 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 74c | 161.08$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f4…c6eebacked Yes | 69c | 160.49$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 173 | 57.8%100 W · 73 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed No | 29c | 156.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…fcdbbacked Yes | 65c | 155$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540f…92bebacked No | 32c | 151.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f15…52f1backed Yes | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…acfebacked Yes | 71c | 148.14$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 18c | 141.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec3…9f41backed Yes | 74c | 137.42$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +51%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…d3fdbacked No | 32c | 135$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 73c | 111.3$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87b0…11eabacked No | 27c | 104.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1e…fbb1backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc74…97d3backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed No | 32c | 96.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 50c | 90.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 21c | 90.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Yes | 73c | 81.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 239 | 43.5%104 W · 135 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked No | 20c | 77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664c…718bbacked Yes | 68c | 71.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 72c | 68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 74c | 65.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…5b7abacked No | 19c | 62.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89aa…d941backed Yes | 70c | 61.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed No | 30c | 59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 239 | 60.7%145 W · 94 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc3…e370backed Yes | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked No | 32c | 57.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 32c | 53.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 27c | 53.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…0558backed Yes | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3f…bc25backed Yes | 75c | 51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…1011backed No | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4420…ea24backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe466…c210backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 72c | 48.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26cc…ad05backed Yes | 71c | 43.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a03…1c04backed Yes | 74c | 42.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…8e54backed Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 67c | 42.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 32c | 41.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972c…d1a1backed No | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed No | 32c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x105b…afa2backed Yes | 68c | 33.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 74c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecf…039cbacked Yes | 70c | 32.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…620bbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6da…2a10backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23a1…8620backed Yes | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef08…764dbacked Yes | 71c | 27.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 74c | 27.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 198 | 74.7%148 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…11fcbacked Yes | 73c | 27.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea90…9e4dbacked Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 74c | 26.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 76c | 20.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x428f…5d1bbacked Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…1b19backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…41d8backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7e…28ddbacked Yes | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes | 75c | 18.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | -29.6wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lionel Messi score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Lionel Messi score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Lionel Messi score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Lionel Messi score 12+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Lionel Messi score 13+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Lionel Messi score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Lionel Messi score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Lionel Messi score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Lionel Messi score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Lionel Messi score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Lionel Messi score 7+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.