Fifa International · resolved market
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32fab73fe0b7a2514b7f308e8f46be8675109c639ac5f6c8881a3ce90950083a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 66c | 11,654$7,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,948.03 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 37c | 10,403$3,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,832.56 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked No | 60c | 7,312$4,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,915.02 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 48c | 5,500$2,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.99 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa81e…03dcbacked Yes | 40c | 3,361$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked No | 61c | 2,591$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.57 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7995…6351backed Yes | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…c023backed Yes | 10c | 2,345$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.35 | 275 | 43.6%120 W · 155 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 40c | 2,308$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.99 | 553 | 44.7%247 W · 306 L | -28.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…0f24backed No | 59c | 2,099$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x131c…6816backed No | 64c | 1,846$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.7 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 37c | 1,702$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.39 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed Yes | 66c | 1,563$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.99 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 27c | 1,540$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.13 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Yes | 70c | 1,423$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 38c | 1,290$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.42 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e00…4421backed Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 34c | 1,194$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.21 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 43c | 1,079$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.29 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 62c | 1,005$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.9 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed No | 59c | 995.9$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.32 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1e…fbb1backed Yes | 48c | 899.98$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.99 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 45c | 841.05$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.84 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…343dbacked Yes | 62c | 836.63$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked No | 37c | 835.44$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.68 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed No | 38c | 829.66$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.95 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1800…d3dabacked Yes | 41c | 823.2$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 65c | 800$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c2…a274backed No | 63c | 798.48$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e7…aa79backed Yes | 40c | 778.12$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 31c | 738.66$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.16 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d3…55b0backed Yes | 69c | 727.18$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d68…8239backed Yes | 69c | 723.26$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e52…44e7backed Yes | 37c | 700$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b4…38c7backed Yes | 62c | 688.29$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.68 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a0…2babbacked Yes | 41c | 665.9$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…b8f1backed No | 35c | 599.58$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 30cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 62c | 594.02$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.73 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed No | 39c | 586.31$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.96 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…5c91backed Yes | 68c | 536.03$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.02 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 66c | 525.26$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.13 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…5ae0backed Yes | 40c | 520$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18af…f909backed No | 27c | 515.83$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.41 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…e53dbacked No | 61c | 512.98$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed No | 60c | 503.03$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.01 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes | 37c | 499.98$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.99 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…f3e1backed No | 60c | 489.45$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.78 | 71 | 14.1%10 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 29c | 476.85$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.31 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…5a01backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e70…fc34backed Yes | 40c | 452.33$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.93 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe92a…a51cbacked No | 61c | 450$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3183…c5ebbacked No | 33c | 448.37$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 36c | 444.23$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.52 | 1,068 | 49.2%525 W · 543 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdea…27c6backed Yes | 37c | 430$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.1 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e0…30e3backed Yes | 11c | 427.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 39c | 404.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.05 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f15…52f1backed Yes | 68c | 349.98$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.99 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e66…a1c0backed Yes | 71c | 349$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…fcdbbacked Yes | 62c | 333.11$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 62c | 315$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.7 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd175…bb3abacked Yes | 64c | 312.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.32 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed No | 73c | 305$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.86 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe588…c5d1backed Yes | 34c | 300.96$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.98 | 120 | 26.7%32 W · 88 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf008…c1a0backed No | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…2e20backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f0…529ebacked Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked No | 39c | 300$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 45c | 296.49$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.01 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…4189backed Yes | 36c | 277.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes | 43c | 272$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.17 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4816…5c0bbacked Yes | 65c | 265.25$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…1962backed No | 64c | 264.97$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.86 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fb…bf4cbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43d…7dc2backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8168…90e7backed No | 38c | 257.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…4ec7backed No | 25c | 252.42$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.39 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71d3…4e2abacked Yes | 79c | 252.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 71.7%38 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2898…d183backed Yes | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc10b…65dbbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…d725backed Yes | 38c | 249.42$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…3947backed Yes | 64c | 248.44$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 157 | 22.9%36 W · 121 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ee…cc59backed Yes | 66c | 246.05$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.5 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c2…1b0dbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…0ae6backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -58%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e4…ffb1backed Yes | 39c | 241.54$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 38c | 241.33$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.68 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…4006backed Yes | 52c | 239.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.19 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4793…a932backed No | 61c | 239.74$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…245ebacked No | 63c | 239.49$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.61 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…a9d7backed Yes | 40c | 236.1$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.44 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 235.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe294…ce9ebacked Yes | 41c | 234.68$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3adb…aca8backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…0121backed Yes | 15c | 229.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9847…2618backed Yes | 44c | 228.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 38c | 223.55$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b127backed Yes | 67c | 221.95$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 39c | 218.53$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.62 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Lionel Messi score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Lionel Messi score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Lionel Messi score 12+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Lionel Messi score 13+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Lionel Messi score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Lionel Messi score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Lionel Messi score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Lionel Messi score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Lionel Messi score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Lionel Messi score 7+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Lionel Messi score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.