Fifa International · resolved market
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb899911ee3000cce5d956d60d27b59af15b1099a2170b0262efc6e543131d23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Messiof Messi, Ronaldo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $204,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Ronaldo | 5c | 13,538$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.51 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587a…ad34backed Ronaldo | 10c | 9,887$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Ronaldo | 3c | 9,472$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.37 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Ronaldo | 11c | 8,096$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.01 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Ronaldo | 5c | 6,903$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.87 | 246 | 16.3%40 W · 206 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…08f0backed Ronaldo | 2c | 6,486$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.66 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed Ronaldo | 35c | 5,914$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.62 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Ronaldo | 9c | 5,911$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.04 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b9…d025backed Messi | 69c | 4,433$3,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +144.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Messi | 60c | 4,035$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.64 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…3c7bbacked Ronaldo | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.01 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Messi | 60c | 2,683$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.15 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Ronaldo | 7c | 2,672$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.2 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5183…d4dabacked Ronaldo | 3c | 2,670$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.29 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Ronaldo | 2c | 2,633$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 202 | 1.5%3 W · 199 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5796…9b4bbacked Ronaldo | 4c | 2,375$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…3706backed Ronaldo | 37c | 2,194$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.67 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Ronaldo | 40c | 2,187$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.15 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Ronaldo | 3c | 2,050$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.42 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a3…9b79backed Messi | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f7…087cbacked Ronaldo | 4c | 1,702$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9a…099fbacked Ronaldo | 5c | 1,685$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.71 | 84 | 15.5%13 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8d…edbebacked Ronaldo | 8c | 1,526$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.68 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Ronaldo | 4c | 1,459$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Ronaldo | 39c | 1,300$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.99 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41c2…b6a5backed Ronaldo | 40c | 1,260$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5381…6649backed Ronaldo | 1c | 1,227$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…f6edbacked Ronaldo | 8c | 1,214$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…17e7backed Ronaldo | 8c | 1,205$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd311…61b4backed Ronaldo | 4c | 1,131$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Ronaldo | 13c | 1,047$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.32 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Ronaldo | 15c | 1,027$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.08 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked Ronaldo | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…58a3backed Ronaldo | 2c | 999.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793e…cddbbacked Ronaldo | 8c | 991.87$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Ronaldo | 45c | 896.26$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.32 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce5…7c13backed Ronaldo | 3c | 891.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed Messi | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…d769backed Ronaldo | 3c | 824.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Ronaldo | 42c | 819.88$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.35 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed Messi | 60c | 807.4$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…0268backed Messi | 55c | 803.62$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce3…2317backed Ronaldo | 4c | 791.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…1e44backed Ronaldo | 14c | 765.48$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.49 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Ronaldo | 2c | 751.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Ronaldo | 5c | 742.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab5…900bbacked Ronaldo | 2c | 723.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…16b2backed Ronaldo | 7c | 704.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382f…42a9backed Ronaldo | 7c | 699.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4394…3055backed Ronaldo | 2c | 683.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa32f…28bcbacked Ronaldo | 9c | 656$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032b…9d22backed Ronaldo | 22c | 650$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.85 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…5e9ebacked Ronaldo | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa9…7633backed Ronaldo | 8c | 608.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 25.6%43 W · 125 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Messi | 61c | 600$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Ronaldo | 38c | 599.97$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.99 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…5f34backed Ronaldo | 40c | 599.88$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.71 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Ronaldo | 2c | 583.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0777…4b7fbacked Ronaldo | 8c | 581.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Messi | 59c | 580.55$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.03 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…6ef4backed Ronaldo | 7c | 575.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Messi | 60c | 575.62$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.49 | 245 | 39.6%97 W · 148 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Messi | 55c | 559.97$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.99 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b60…4e26backed Ronaldo | 18c | 553.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…7c88backed Ronaldo | 18c | 550.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac5…894cbacked Messi | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +84%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked Messi | 57c | 500$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…6402backed Messi | 58c | 499.97$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf935…104ebacked Ronaldo | 38c | 499.97$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4910…836ebacked Ronaldo | 8c | 438.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Ronaldo | 6c | 438.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 126 | 6.3%8 W · 118 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Ronaldo | 5c | 429.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…f216backed Ronaldo | 12c | 400$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…0babbacked Ronaldo | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…c1a7backed Messi | 62c | 380$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.4 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89df…f8d0backed Messi | 59c | 336.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Messi | 59c | 328.52$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.69 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…9627backed Messi | 58c | 310.34$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.34 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…cd85backed Messi | 61c | 307.62$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.95 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb306…9873backed Messi | 64c | 303.26$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…c88dbacked Ronaldo | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…2133backed Ronaldo | 7c | 299.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Messi | 59c | 299.97$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.99 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…eb16backed Messi | 61c | 299.97$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.99 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…4f10backed Ronaldo | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Ronaldo | 38c | 284.15$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.98 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed Ronaldo | 40c | 270.63$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.31 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa880…d095backed Messi | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a3…0c5dbacked Ronaldo | 7c | 254.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…4a7dbacked Ronaldo | 39c | 253.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…946bbacked Messi | 63c | 251.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0a…caf5backed Ronaldo | 10c | 240.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x448b…c94abacked Messi | 78c | 230.94$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d3fbbacked Ronaldo | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a7…b778backed Ronaldo | 8c | 225$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…0cdebacked Ronaldo | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…499bbacked Messi | 65c | 216.14$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Ronaldo | 43c | 214$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.02 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed Ronaldo | 35c | 211.05$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.43 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca0…7497backed Messi | 62c | 209.06$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.44 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.