TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc666…3706

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.2
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,069.86
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,445Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+532.9%+$13,029.97
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$3,898Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,898.22
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$5,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,090.4
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldobacked Ronaldo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$807Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$806.67
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.34
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$41.84
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.2
Will New Zealand finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$61.5
Will Türkiye be the worst-placed European nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.56
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$50.79
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$12.12
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$387
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$15.7
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$11.49
Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.66
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.97
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Jarrod Bowen be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.2
Will Senegal win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.48
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid+42.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$424.72
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.78
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$439.47
Will Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$944.91
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$839.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$468.53
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$502.89
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+120.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+76.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick16cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+273.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoevenbacked Rico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$437.22
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+647.4%+$6,472.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,776Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,775.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,249Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,248.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.