Fifa International · resolved market
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c964b8dceb1b3fdf8ef5a53f24bd93a6d7464ef300ab11c336a7b791cdb6f3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $902,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $941,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $902,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 985 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 27c | 43,798$11,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,825.52 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…17d4backed Yes | 73c | 42,710$31,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,531.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 25c | 42,047$10,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,533.4 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed No | 27c | 37,735$10,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,188.58 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed No | 33c | 31,000$10,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,229.89 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6764…49c4backed Yes | 77c | 25,732$19,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,897.18 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 74c | 21,700$15,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,724.38 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed No | 30c | 21,104$6,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,244.88 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Yes | 67c | 20,000$13,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,599.95 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…864bbacked Yes | 73c | 19,309$14,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,213.39 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 24c | 18,940$4,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,508.84 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 78c | 12,794$9,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,803.85 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 27c | 11,743$3,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,137.29 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 32c | 11,500$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,679.93 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c30…0f2abacked No | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed No | 3c | 10,332$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.08 | 290 | 30.7%89 W · 201 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 71c | 10,000$7,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…74debacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 15.3%11 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…91e7backed Yes | 68c | 10,000$6,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,211.12 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Yes | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.98 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked No | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.98 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.93 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Yes | 68c | 8,500$5,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 73c | 7,949$5,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.15 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked No | 27c | 7,500$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.97 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…150fbacked Yes | 67c | 7,224$4,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,384.02 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd8…d98dbacked Yes | 67c | 7,066$4,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 7,014$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 202 | 1.5%3 W · 199 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7837…8f97backed No | 18c | 6,823$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.21 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 32c | 6,710$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.93 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…5732backed Yes | 75c | 6,612$4,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 75c | 6,581$4,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.82 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa03d…d98cbacked Yes | 73c | 6,450$4,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.56 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…9cf4backed Yes | 73c | 6,401$4,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.69 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 17c | 6,022$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.65 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 29c | 5,494$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.27 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed No | 32c | 5,054$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.24 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b34…c6efbacked Yes | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.99 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6459…c926backed Yes | 74c | 4,566$3,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.63 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 25c | 4,539$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.04 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38c…5c12backed Yes | 67c | 4,426$2,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 73c | 4,191$3,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.81 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 30c | 3,916$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.02 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 24c | 3,901$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.91 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 27c | 3,656$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.77 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 25c | 3,622$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.38 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…5c91backed Yes | 77c | 3,487$2,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.12 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 17c | 3,486$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.73 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 21c | 3,474$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.88 | 269 | 40.9%110 W · 159 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 74c | 3,410$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.26 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…52d5backed Yes | 66c | 3,398$2,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.69 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed No | 33c | 3,333$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 68c | 3,291$2,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.48 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed No | 31c | 3,256$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.91 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 33c | 3,200$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes | 74c | 3,159$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.3 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 28c | 3,097$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.05 | 241 | 44.8%108 W · 133 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5514…10dfbacked Yes | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Yes | 73c | 2,987$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.44 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 77c | 2,907$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.38 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46eb…ba8cbacked Yes | 38c | 2,900$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Yes | 68c | 2,719$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.12 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed No | 28c | 2,536$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.65 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…3429backed Yes | 73c | 2,500$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.98 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45f1…131dbacked Yes | 75c | 2,476$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.4 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1370…2cfdbacked Yes | 74c | 2,467$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.99 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a24…98a7backed Yes | 72c | 2,314$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.82 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d16…f032backed Yes | 67c | 2,258$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.57 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 25c | 2,235$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cf…1377backed Yes | 71c | 2,118$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.99 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 21c | 2,043$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.94 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 25c | 2,024$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.47 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…7a2bbacked Yes | 72c | 2,001$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.16 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 71c | 2,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 283 | 37.1%105 W · 178 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…942abacked Yes | 75c | 2,000$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 24c | 2,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff8…5fd6backed Yes | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…9220backed No | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.95 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked No | 1c | 1,999$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Yes | 76c | 1,987$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.82 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 70c | 1,974$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.15 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 27c | 1,971$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.17 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Yes | 69c | 1,876$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.45 | 272 | 42.3%115 W · 157 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 3c | 1,836$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…f00cbacked Yes | 73c | 1,730$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.1 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe157…4f0ebacked Yes | 73c | 1,721$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.73 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 65c | 1,696$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.6 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 20c | 1,678$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.79 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb122…b065backed Yes | 70c | 1,673$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.2 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 33c | 1,600$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2296…fea5backed Yes | 67c | 1,583$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…9bdcbacked No | 27c | 1,581$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.73 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 24c | 1,556$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.12 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0016…fe14backed No | 38c | 1,550$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.1 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 9c | 1,533$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.61 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 28c | 1,500$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.71 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Yes | 71c | 1,500$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 150 | 52%78 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…176dbacked Yes | 70c | 1,500$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.99 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Curaçao win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.